Brent Rooker (ATH) Under 1.5 Doubles (-1111)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Betting on Brent Rooker to hit under 1.5 doubles in this game is a sound choice based on his recent performance statistics. Over his last five games, both overall and away, Rooker has averaged just 0.2 doubles per game. This suggests that his likelihood of hitting two or more doubles in a single game is relatively low. Additionally, while Rooker's overall and away hit averages are impressive, they do not translate directly into doubles. His hit average, both overall (1.6) and away (1.4), indicates that he typically gets on base, but not necessarily with doubles. Furthermore, the current hit streaks, although impressive, don't provide any specific insight into his doubles hitting ability. Therefore, based on the provided data, it's statistically unlikely that Rooker will exceed 1.5 doubles in this game against the Oakland Athletics.
Lawrence Butler (ATH) Under 2.5 Singles (-588)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Lawrence Butler for Under 2.5 in the Batter Singles market is driven by his recent performance data. Butler's average for the last five games overall is 0.4 singles, well below the 2.5 line. His average rises slightly when looking at his last five away games, but only to 0.6 singles, still significantly under the bet line. His overall hits average also supports this bet, with just 1 hit per game both overall and in away games. Despite his impressive hit streaks, the low singles and hit averages indicate that he is not typically hitting multiple singles in a game. Therefore, the statistical likelihood of Butler hitting over 2.5 singles in this game is low, making the Under 2.5 bet a sound choice based on the data.
Kyle Higashioka (TEX) Under 1.5 Singles (-400)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Kyle Higashioka for under 1.5 in the Batter Singles market is a solid choice, given his past performance. His average for the last five games overall is just 0.6 singles, while his average for the last five away games is even lower at 0.4 singles. This trend of low performance continues when looking at his average against the Oakland Athletics, with only 0.2 singles in the last five games. Additionally, his average hits in the last five away games is only 0.4, further indicating a low likelihood of high performance in an away game. Despite a current hit streak, the data suggests a low probability of Higashioka exceeding 1.5 singles in this game. This rationale is supported by the model's implied probability of 80.0%.
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