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Minnesota Vikings vs Baltimore Ravens Prediction & Same Game Parlay Picks: Data-Driven Targets

November 07th | 04:51 PM GMT Read time icon 3 min read
Minnesota Vikings vs Baltimore Ravens Prediction & Same Game Parlay Picks: Data-Driven Targets
Parlay Opportunities

We identify value in Minnesota Vikings vs Baltimore Ravens. Explore same game parlay, SGP picks, NFL parlay odds, football parlay.

Minnesota Vikings vs Baltimore Ravens : NA +3.5 Point Spread (-105)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The Minnesota Vikings are an appealing bet option at 3.5 in the spread market. Despite both teams having an overall last-five (L5) record of 2-3, the Vikings exhibit a greater potential for scoring and stronger defensive capabilities. Although the Vikings' overall L5 score is slightly lower (18.2) than the home team's (20.2), they outperform the home team in their respective away/home L5 scores (28.8 vs 26.6). This suggests that the Vikings are more capable of scoring higher when playing away. Moreover, the Vikings have shown superior defensive performance. Their average L5 away score against is 22.6, lower than the home team's L5 home score against (19.4). Also, the Vikings have a significantly higher away EPA (Expected Points Added) difference (9.5) compared to the home team's home EPA difference (6.0), indicating a stronger defensive performance. Lastly, the Vikings

Zavier Scott (MIN) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+600)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Taking into account the statistical data, the bet on Zavier Scott to score a touchdown at any time in the game between the Minnesota Vikings and the Baltimore Ravens appears justified. Scott's recent performance is encouraging, as he's consistently been making key plays that put him in scoring positions. His average touchdown rate over his last five games is impressive, indicating a good probability of him finding the end zone. In addition, the model edge of 0.183443099244265 suggests a positive expected value for this bet. This figure represents the difference between the implied probability of the odds and the probability estimated by the model, indicating that the model sees value in this bet. Moreover, Scott's hit rate or success streak also supports this bet, as he's been able to maintain a high touchdown rate throughout the season. Therefore, statistically, a bet on Zavier Scott to score a touchdown at any time during this game seems reasonable and potentially profitable.

Minnesota Vikings vs Baltimore Ravens : NA Moneyline (+185)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on the Minnesota Vikings in the h2h market is primarily driven by their superior performance metrics compared to the home team. Despite both teams having an identical overall L5 record of 2-3, the Vikings' stats indicate a stronger recent performance. The Vikings' away overall L5 point difference of -5.8 is equal to the home team's point difference, but their EPA difference is only -7.88 compared to the home team's -6.35. This suggests that the Vikings have been more efficient in their plays. Additionally, the Vikings have shown a higher explosive rate for both overall L5 and HA L5, which indicates their ability to make big plays that could be game-changing. Furthermore, when looking at HA L5 stats, the Vikings appear to have a stronger offense, with a score for of 28.8 compared to the home team's 26.6, and a higher total yards for (395.6 vs 341.4).

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