Best NFL Parlay Picks Today, Saturday 01/10 (7-Leg)

Betting on Parker Washington to have over 1.5 receptions in the 'player_receptions_alternate' market is a statistically sound choice based on his recent performance and hit rates. He has a strong track record, especially when playing at home. His overall hit rate in the last 20 games is 90% (18/20), which increases to a perfect 100% (10/10) for home games. Moreover, his current hit streak at home stands at 11 games. More specifically, against the Buffalo Bills, Washington has consistently achieved the over 1.5 outcome in the past. His overall hit rate against Buffalo is 100%, as he has hit the over 1.5 receptions every time he played against them. With an overall hit rate of 79% (26/33) and a model edge of 0.056, the statistical evidence supports a bet on Washington to exceed 1.5 receptions in the upcoming game.

Parker Washington (JAX) Over 14.5 Player reception yds alternate (-1250)

The betting rationale for Parker Washington to have over 14.5 receiving yards is not strong based on recent performance data. Washington has been underperforming, with an overall hit rate of 12/33 and a current hit streak of zero. His performance at home is also weak, with a hit rate of 5/15, and his recent form is poor, not hitting the mark in his last 5 overall games and last 3 home games. The only positive statistic is his performance against Buffalo, with a hit rate of 1/1. However, this is based on a single game, which is not enough to establish a reliable trend. The model edge of just over 6% is also not compelling. Therefore, the statistical evidence does not support a bet for Washington to exceed 14.5 receiving yards in the upcoming game against Buffalo.

Jalen Coker (CAR) Over 1.5 Player receptions alternate (-625)

The betting rationale for Jalen Coker for Over 1.5 in the 'player_receptions_alternate' market is backed by a strong performance history and consistent hit rates. Coker has exceeded 1.5 receptions in his last 8 games, as indicated by his overall_current_hit_streak. This consistency is even more pronounced in home games, where he's on a 10-game hit streak. Looking at his overall_hit_rate_last_5, he's hit the mark in all 5 games, and has done so in 9 out of his last 10 games (overall_hit_rate_last_10). Furthermore, his home performance is impeccable, with a perfect 10/10 home_hit_rate_last_10, showing that he thrives in the home environment. In his career, he's surpassed 1.5 receptions in 18 out of 22 games (overall_hit_rate_overall), and 10 out of 11 home games (home_hit_rate_overall

Brenton Strange (JAX) Over 14.5 Player reception yds alternate (-526)

The bet on Brenton Strange for Over 14.5 in the 'player_reception_yds_alternate' market appears to be a long shot based on his recent performance and hit rates. Over his last 10 games, Strange has not surpassed 14.5 receiving yards in any match, with an overall hit rate of 0/10. His home and away hit rates also reflect this trend, with rates of 2/10 and 0/10 respectively. Even when narrowing down to his performance against the Buffalo Bills, Strange has not exceeded this target in the last 2 games. Furthermore, he is currently on a hitless streak both overall and at home. Despite the model edge of 0.132732313035494, the statistical data suggests that betting on Strange to exceed 14.5 yards in the upcoming game against Buffalo Bills might not be the most profitable choice.

Caleb Williams (CHI) Over 149.5 Player pass yds alternate (-625)

The betting rationale for Caleb Williams surpassing 149.5 passing yards in the Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers game is not optimistic based on recent performance. Williams has not hit the over in his last 5 overall games and his last 5 home games, suggesting a downward trend. His hit rate against Green Bay is slightly better with a 50% success rate over the last 5 games, and a perfect 100% success rate in home games against Green Bay. However, these success rates are based on only 2 and 1 games respectively, which is a small sample size. Williams is currently on a hit streak of 0 for overall, home, and against Green Bay games, indicating he is not in form. Therefore, despite the model's edge of 10.89%, the bet seems risky considering Williams' recent performance.

Bryce Young (CAR) Over 149.5 Player pass yds alternate (-435)

Betting on Bryce Young for Over 149.5 in the 'player_pass_yds_alternate' market may not be a promising wager based on his recent performance and trends. Young has not hit the over in his last 3, 5, 10, and 20 overall games, as well as his last 3, 5, and 10 home games. This is evident in his overall hit rate of 21 out of 50 games and home hit rate of 11 out of 24 games. This suggests that Young has been consistently underperforming in both overall and home games. His current hit streak is also at zero for both overall and home games, further indicating a lack of recent success in exceeding this passing yards mark. While there is a model edge of 0.109898107831351, the player's historical performance does not inspire confidence in this bet.