Jonathan Taylor (IND) Under 17.5 Receiving Yards (-111)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Betting on Jonathan Taylor to hit under 17.5 reception yards is supported by several statistical trends. First, Taylor's recent performance indicates a downturn in his reception yards, as shown by his overall hit rate in his last 3, 5, and 10 games being 0/3, 0/5, and 1/10 respectively. His performance at home also mirrors this trend, with hit rates of 0/3, 0/5, and 4/10 in his last 3, 5, and 10 home games. Additionally, Taylor's current hit streak in both overall and home games is zero, further suggesting a downturn in his reception yard production. While he has hit the mark in his last game against Atlanta, it's important to note that it's a single data point. Therefore, based on Taylor's recent trends and performances, there's a strong case for betting under 17.5 in the player reception yards market.
Jonathan Taylor (IND) Under 17.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The under bet on Jonathan Taylor for under 17.5 receiving yards seems like a solid option based on recent performance and statistical trends. Taylor has struggled to hit this mark recently, as shown by his overall hit rate in the last 3 games (0/3), last 5 games (0/5), and even in the last 10 games (1/10). His performance at home is also not encouraging with hit rates of 0/3 and 0/5 in the last 3 and 5 home games, respectively. Although he has hit the mark in his last match against Atlanta (1/1), it's important to note that this is a small sample size. His overall hit rate is barely above 50% (26/44), which further supports the under bet. The model edge of 0.076 also points towards the under bet. Therefore, the under bet seems statistically favorable based on Taylor's recent performance and trends.
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