Geelong Cats vs Hawthorn Hawks Prediction & Picks : Stat-Based Insights

Dylan Moore is a solid pick to score anytime against Geelong based on his recent form. With an average of 0.8 goals in his last five away games and a 55.0% goal accuracy, Moore consistently threatens the opposition. His 1.8 shots at goal per game and 4.4 score involvements further highlight his attacking impact. Facing Geelong, where he averages 0.7 goals in their matchups, Moore's 70.0% goal accuracy over his last five games overall enhances his scoring potential. The model's prediction of 0.9 goals for Moore, with a 7.9% edge, aligns with his recent performance, making him a strong candidate to snag a goal in the upcoming game at the MCG.

Jack Ginnivan (Hawthorn) Over 14.5 Disposals (-333)

Jack Ginnivan is a solid bet to surpass 14.5 disposals against Geelong Cats based on his recent performance. With an average of 19 disposals in his last five away games and a strong 68.3% disposal efficiency, Ginnivan has been consistently involved in Hawthorn's midfield. Additionally, his average of 11 kicks and 8 handballs per game show his ability to contribute across different aspects of play. Facing an opponent where he has historically averaged 9 disposals, Ginnivan's recent form and overall hit rate of 10 out of the last 11 games make him a reliable choice to exceed the proposed line in this matchup at the MCG.

Shaun Mannagh (Geelong Cats) Over 14.5 Disposals (-263)

Shaun Mannagh's recent form, especially in home games, indicates a strong likelihood of exceeding 14.5 disposals against Hawthorn. With an average of 21 disposals in his last five home games and an impressive hit rate streak of 5/5, Mannagh consistently outperforms the set line. His proficiency in contested possessions (6.4 avg), kicks (14.2 avg), and metres gained (413 avg) further support his ability to surpass the predicted 18.4 disposals. Additionally, his high disposal efficiency (60.4%) and low turnover average (3.8) enhance his chances of maintaining possession effectively. Mannagh's consistent performance, coupled with his current hit streak and statistical advantages, make him a solid pick for exceeding 14.5 disposals in this matchup at the MCG.

Jack Ginnivan (Hawthorn) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-233)

Jack Ginnivan is a strong bet to snag a goal in the Geelong Cats vs. Hawthorn Hawks matchup based on his recent performance. With an impressive average of 1.6 goals in his last five away games and a solid goal accuracy of 53.3%, Ginnivan has shown consistent scoring ability. Additionally, his average of 2.4 shots at goal and 0.8 marks inside 50 highlight his involvement in the attacking plays. Facing an opponent where he has previously scored, averaging 0.5 goals against them, Ginnivan's recent form and matchup history suggest he is likely to continue his goal-scoring streak, making the 'Over 0.5 Goals Anytime' bet on him appealing.

Geelong Cats vs Hawthorn Hawks : Geelong Cats Win (-185)

Geelong Cats are favored in the Geelong Cats vs. Hawthorn Hawks clash due to their dominant recent form. Geelong's L5 stats showcase a strong offensive performance, averaging 119.8 points scored and 17.8 goals per game at home. Their ability to control play with 60.4 inside 50s and 37.2 total clearances on average gives them an edge over Hawthorn. In contrast, Hawthorn struggles defensively, conceding 81.2 points and only managing 26.4 shots at goal away. Geelong's robust midfield, evident from their 132.8 contested possessions on average, is poised to outclass Hawthorn. With a solid margin average of 53.8 at home, the Cats are well-positioned to secure the win in this matchup.