Collingwood Magpies vs Brisbane Lions Prediction & Picks : Full Match Breakdown & Bets

Tim Membrey is a strong bet to score anytime against Brisbane Lions based on his recent form. With an average of 1.2 goals in his last 5 home games and a 53.3% goal accuracy, Membrey is consistent in finding the big sticks. His involvement in scoring opportunities with an average of 3.8 score involvements per game further supports his ability to capitalize on chances. Facing Brisbane, against whom he averages 1.7 goals in his last 5 matchups, Membrey's form and historical performance make him a reliable choice to snag a goal in this game at the MCG.

Charlie Cameron (Brisbane Lions) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-333)

Charlie Cameron is a solid bet to score anytime based on his recent form. With an average of 1.4 goals in his last five away games and a 45.0% goal accuracy, he consistently threatens the opposition. Facing Collingwood, against whom he has scored an average of 2 goals in their previous encounters, Cameron's scoring potential is further supported. His involvement in scoring opportunities is evident through his 4.2 score involvements per game, while averaging 2.8 shots at goal. With the model predicting him to score 1.3 goals, well above the set line of 0.5, and showing a 7.5% edge, Cameron is poised to continue his goal-scoring streak away at the MCG.

Zac Bailey (Brisbane Lions) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-323)

Zac Bailey is a strong bet to score anytime against Collingwood based on his recent form. With an average of 1.4 goals in his last five away games and 1.8 goals against Collingwood in similar matchups, Bailey consistently finds the back of the net. His 47.5% goal accuracy and 3.8 shots at goal per game further support his scoring potential. Additionally, his high score involvements (6.4) and ability to hit the scoreboard (L5 average of 1.6 goals) make him a reliable goal-scoring threat. Given the model's prediction of 1.2 goals, Bailey's recent performance metrics suggest he is likely to surpass the over 0.5 goal line, making him a favorable choice for this bet.

Callum Ah Chee (Brisbane Lions) Over 9.5 Disposals (-400)

Callum Ah Chee has been a consistent performer, averaging 13.4 disposals in his last five away games, comfortably exceeding the set line of 9.5. His recent form against Collingwood and overall averages of 15 disposals further support this bet. With a model predicting him to reach 14.7 disposals, Ah Chee's current hit streak of 5 and impressive 9/10 hit rate in away games add confidence. His ability to gain meters (213.2 avg) and efficient disposal (67.1%) enhance his chances of surpassing the line. Considering his solid contested possessions (3 avg) and intercepts (1.8 avg), Ah Chee is poised to contribute significantly, making the Over 9.5 disposals bet a compelling choice for this matchup.

Collingwood Magpies vs Brisbane Lions : Brisbane Lions Win (+115)

The bet on Brisbane Lions as the match winner against Collingwood Magpies is supported by their recent performance indicators. Brisbane's strong average points scored (85.2) and conceded (71.6) in their last five games, compared to Collingwood's lower scoring average (64) and higher points against (76.6), suggest Brisbane's offensive prowess and defensive solidity. Additionally, Brisbane's higher averages in key stats like clearances, contested possessions, and inside 50s indicate their ability to control play and create scoring opportunities. With a recent higher margin average (17) compared to Collingwood's (-12.6), Brisbane Lions appear well-positioned to secure a victory at the MCG.