Logan Morris (Brisbane Lions) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-833)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Logan Morris is a strong bet to score anytime against Collingwood based on his recent form. With an average of 2.6 goals in his last five away games and a high goal accuracy of 59.8%, he's been consistently finding the big sticks. Morris also averages 4 shots at goal per game, showing his attacking intent. Facing Collingwood, against whom he averages 3 goals in away matchups, further boosts his scoring potential. His involvement in the Lions' scoring plays, averaging 5 score involvements per game, indicates his crucial role in their forward line. With the model predicting a 6.1% edge, Morris is poised to continue his goal-scoring streak at the MCG.
Dayne Zorko (Brisbane Lions) Over 19.5 Disposals (-667)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Dayne Zorko is a solid bet to surpass 19.5 disposals against Collingwood at the MCG. His impressive form, averaging 25.2 disposals in his last five away games, exceeds the model's prediction of 26.7 with a 5.5% edge. Zorko's consistency is evident with a 5-game hit streak and a 17/19 hit rate in away games. Facing Collingwood, he has historically performed well, averaging 21.2 disposals in their last five encounters. Zorko's all-around game, including contested possessions (4.4), kicks (18.8), and metres gained (554.6), supports his ability to meet the line. With his recent form and matchup history, taking the over on Zorko's disposals presents a favorable betting opportunity.
Darcy Cameron (Collingwood) Over 9.5 Disposals (-769)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Darcy Cameron's recent form, especially at home with an average of 16.8 disposals in the last five games, indicates he consistently exceeds the 9.5 line. Against Brisbane, he averages 14 disposals, further supporting his ability to surpass the set line. With a solid contested possessions average of 9.6 and a high disposal efficiency of 63.5%, Cameron is poised to maintain possession effectively. His strong hit rate streak of 20/20 at home and an overall hit rate of 20/20 demonstrate his consistency. The model's prediction of 16.6 disposals with a 3.7% edge suggests a high likelihood of Cameron exceeding this line, making the "Over 9.5 Disposals" bet appealing for the upcoming game at the MCG.
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