Merrill Kelly (ARI) Over 2.5 Hits Allowed (-2000)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Merrill Kelly for Over 2.5 in the Pitcher Hits Allowed market is a strong choice based on his recent performance data. Over his last five games, Kelly has averaged 4 hits allowed overall, 3.6 hits when playing away, and 4 hits against the Rockies. This trend is consistent, regardless of location or opponent. Furthermore, his innings pitched (IP) averages are also consistent, with 5.1 IP overall and away, and 6.2 IP against the Rockies. Thus, he's consistently on the mound for a significant amount of time, increasing the likelihood of allowing more hits. Despite his current hit streak being at zero, his past performances suggest a strong probability of conceding over 2.5 hits in the upcoming game.

Mickey Moniak (COL) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-1111)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The under 0.5 bet on Mickey Moniak in the Batter Stolen Bases market is a strong choice, given his recent performance data. Over the last five games, Moniak has not recorded any stolen bases, whether playing at home or against the Arizona Diamondbacks. This trend is consistent, with no instances of being caught stealing either. His current hit streak, while impressive, does not translate into stolen bases. Therefore, despite his ability to get on base, Moniak has not demonstrated a propensity for stealing bases. This consistent pattern of play suggests a high likelihood that Moniak will not steal a base in the upcoming game against the Diamondbacks, making the under 0.5 bet a statistically sound choice.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-1250)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The betting rationale for choosing Under 0.5 for Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the Batter Stolen Bases market is primarily based on his recent performance data. Gurriel Jr. has not stolen a base in his last five overall games, nor in his last five away games. His average stolen bases against the opponent, Colorado Rockies, is also low at 0.4. Furthermore, Gurriel Jr. hasn't been caught stealing in his recent games, suggesting a conservative approach on the base paths. His current hit streak, while impressive, does not necessarily translate to stolen bases. Therefore, based on his recent lack of stolen bases both overall and away, and his low stolen base average against the Rockies, the bet on Gurriel Jr. for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is a statistically sound choice.

See All Our Picks

You're viewing a preview. Subscribe today to unlock the full article and gain access to all our expert insights and best bets - every single day.

Get Bet Better Pro