Moussa Diabate (Charlotte Hornets) Under 9.5 Rebounds (-102)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Charlotte Hornets host the Sacramento Kings, targeting Moussa Diabate for under 9.5 rebounds is looking like a savvy play. Despite averaging a solid 10.8 boards at home recently, Diabate has faced the Kings' frontcourt, managing just 5 rebounds in their last matchup at home. His overall average against this opponent dips to 7.3, and with a recent hit rate of only 60% in his last ten outings, the odds seem to favor a lower output tonight. The Kings tend to play a fast-paced game, often limiting opportunities for any one player to rack up boards. Given that Diabate's expected stat value sits at 8.53 and the implied probability for this under is just over 50%, the data suggests tonight might not be his night on the glass. A logical bet here is on the under, as circumstances align against a big rebounding night.

DeMar DeRozan (Sacramento Kings) Over 18.5 Points + Rebounds (-112)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

DeMar DeRozan is primed for a standout performance against the Charlotte Hornets, making the Over on his combined points and rebounds a compelling bet. Historically, DeRozan has thrived in matchups against the Hornets, averaging 24 points when playing away-significantly higher than his recent average of 15.4 on the road. His ability to elevate his game against this opponent is further evidenced by his 21.4 points per game against them over the last five matchups. While he's been steady with 18.6 points and 1.6 rebounds in his last five outings, it's his past performances in Charlotte that truly catch the eye. Averaging 4.4 rebounds against them on the road, he's well-equipped to surpass the 18.5 mark. With a solid hit rate of 60% on the road over his last 20 games, it's hard to overlook the value here. Expect DeRozan to deliver when

LaMelo Ball (Charlotte Hornets) Under 3.5 Threes Made (+116)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As LaMelo Ball gears up to face the Sacramento Kings at home, we're seeing some intriguing dynamics at play. While he's been a sharpshooter lately, averaging 4.8 threes across his last five games, his performance against the Kings tells a different story. Historically, he's hit just 3.2 threes against them, and notably, he's yet to make a single three at home in their last encounter. With the Kings' defense tightening up, especially beyond the arc, there's reason to believe LaMelo might struggle to hit that 3.5 mark. His recent home hit rate stands at 60%, but against teams like Sacramento, he's been less effective. With an expected stat value of just 3.21 threes, betting on the under feels like a solid play. Given these trends and matchups, it seems prudent to bank on LaMelo staying under the threshold this time around.

Kon Knueppel (Charlotte Hornets) Under 3.5 Threes Made (-104)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

In Tuesday's clash between the Charlotte Hornets and Sacramento Kings, targeting the under on Kon Knueppel's three-pointers makes a lot of sense. Playing at home, Kon has shown flashes of brilliance, but recent trends suggest he might fall short of the 3.5 mark. Over his last four games, he's only hit the over once, and his overall hit rate at home isn't exactly inspiring either, standing at 67% in his last six appearances. What's particularly telling is his expected stat value of just 3.13 threes, hinting that he's likely to hover below that critical threshold. The Kings' defense has tightened up as well, which could further limit his opportunities. Given these factors, taking the under on Kon Knueppel feels like a savvy move in this matchup.

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