Shane Baz (TBR) Over 2.5 Strikeouts (-3333)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Shane Baz has a strong track record of striking out batters, with an overall average of 7.4 strikeouts per game and an average of 4.4 strikeouts in away games. His performance against the Boston Red Sox is even more impressive, averaging 8 strikeouts per game. This suggests that Baz is comfortable in this match-up and can deliver high strikeout numbers. Furthermore, Baz has a current hit streak of 12 overall and 4 away, indicating his consistent performance. His innings pitched (IP) averages are also healthy, both overall (5.6) and away (5.7), which shows he typically stays in the game long enough to achieve high strikeout numbers. Given these figures, betting on Baz to get over 2.5 strikeouts is a logical choice.

Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays : Under 11.5 Total Runs (-370)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The 'Under 11.5' bet for the Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays game is a strong choice, largely due to the recent scoring trends of both teams. The Red Sox have averaged 5.2 runs per game in their last five home games, while the Rays have only averaged 1.6 runs in their last five away games. This combined average of 6.8 is significantly lower than the line of 11.5. Additionally, the Red Sox have allowed an average of 2.8 runs in their last five home games, and the Rays have allowed an average of 4 runs in their last five away games, further supporting the likelihood of a low-scoring game. The relatively low batting averages and home run rates of both teams also suggest a low scoring game. The model prediction of 5.77 total runs also aligns with these trends.

Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays : Under 1.5 alternate_team_totals (+480)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The bet on 'Boston Red Sox Under 1.5' for the Team Total Runs is primarily based on the recent defensive performance of the Tampa Bay Rays. Despite the Red Sox's strong offensive record, the Rays have managed to limit their opponents to an average of 4 runs in their last five away games. Moreover, the Rays' pitching staff has been effective, averaging only 3 walks per game in their last five away matches. This suggests a strong defensive strategy that could limit the Red Sox's scoring opportunities. Even though the Red Sox have a high average run score at home, the Rays' recent defensive form and pitching discipline indicate a potential for an under 1.5 outcome for the Red Sox.

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