Kyle Pitts (ATL) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+210)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
Statistically, the data does not suggest a strong likelihood of Kyle Pitts scoring a touchdown in the upcoming game between the Atlanta Falcons and the Los Angeles Rams. Pitts has not scored a touchdown in his last 10 overall games, last 10 home games, and his previous game against the Rams. His overall hit rate is 8 out of 59 games, which translates to a success rate of just over 13%. Although the model provides an edge of 0.179323298678094, the recent performance of Pitts contradicts this optimism. His hit rates over various periods - last 3, 5, 10, and 20 games - all indicate a low scoring probability. His hit rate at home and against the Rams also demonstrate a similar trend. Therefore, based on the provided statistics, it would be a risky bet to wager on Pitts scoring a touchdown in the upcoming game.
Tyler Allgeier (ATL) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+210)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
Based on provided data, it's difficult to justify a bet on Tyler Allgeier scoring a touchdown at any point in the game between the Atlanta Falcons and the Los Angeles Rams. Allgeier's recent performance and trends do not inspire confidence. He hasn't scored a touchdown in his last 5 games overall, his last 5 home games, or his last game against the Rams. His hit rates over 10 and 20 games are only marginally better, showing he rarely finds the end zone. His overall hit rate is just 11/65, so he only scores a touchdown in around 17% of his games. His home hit rate is slightly better at around 19%, but still low. His record against the Rams is 0/1, suggesting this particular matchup does not favor him. His current hit streak in all categories is zero, indicating he's in a scoring drought. While the model shows a slight edge, it's not significant enough to outweigh the negative trends
Drake London (ATL) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+170)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The betting rationale for Drake London to score at any time during the Atlanta Falcons vs Los Angeles Rams game is based on statistical analysis, but it is admittedly a risky proposition. The model gives an edge of 0.1315 to this outcome, which suggests some positive expected value. However, London's recent performance doesn't favor this bet as he hasn't scored in his last five games overall and his last three games at home. His overall hit rate is low as well, with only 14 scores in 60 games. On the positive side, London has a perfect 1/1 hit rate against the Rams, which means he scored the last time he played against this team. If London can exploit the Rams' defense like he has in the past, there's a chance he could score. But based on his recent form, this bet carries a considerable amount of risk.
See All Our Picks
You're viewing a preview. Subscribe today to unlock the full article and gain access to all our expert insights and best bets - every single day.
Get Bet Better Pro