John Bates (WAS) Under 1.5 Receptions (-125)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Betting on John Bates for Under 1.5 in the 'player_receptions' market seems to be a reasonable choice based on several statistical factors. Bates has an overall hit rate of 29/43 and an even stronger record at home with a hit rate of 13/20. Looking specifically at his performance against the Philadelphia Eagles, his hit rate of 4/5 is impressive, and at home, he has a perfect hit rate of 3/3. These consistent performance trends suggest that Bates is unlikely to exceed 1.5 receptions in the upcoming game. His current hit streaks, particularly his home streak of 0 and his overall streak of 1, also indicate a trend towards fewer receptions. Furthermore, the model edge of 0.188876864024265 supports the likelihood of this outcome. Therefore, the data-driven rationale supports an Under 1.5 bet for Bates' player receptions in this game.
Ben Sinnott (WAS) Under 1.5 Receptions (-147)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Betting on Ben Sinnott for Under 1.5 in the 'player_receptions' market is statistically supported due to Sinnott's recent performance and hit rate trends. His overall hit rate over the last 3, 5, 10, and 20 games is strong, with 3/3, 5/5, 9/10, and 9/10 respectively. The data suggests that he has consistently managed to stay under 1.5 receptions in the majority of his games, and he is currently on a 9-game streak of accomplishing this feat. While his hit rate at home is slightly lower at 2/3, it still indicates a trend of staying under the 1.5 mark. Additionally, the model edge of 0.149 is in favor of the 'Under' outcome, adding further statistical weight to this bet. Therefore, the data suggests that betting on Ben Sinnott for Under 1.5 receptions is a statistically sound
Jeremy McNichols (WAS) Under 1.5 Receptions (-154)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Betting on Jeremy McNichols to land under 1.5 receptions in this game seems statistically sound. McNichols' recent performance indicates a trend towards the under outcome with a 60% hit rate over the last 5 games. In home games, his hit rate is consistent at 60%. His performance against Philadelphia is a bit lower, with a hit rate of 50% in the last 5 games, and he has not hit over 1.5 receptions in the last game at home against Philadelphia. His current streaks do not indicate a high likelihood of hitting over 1.5, with no home or Philadelphia specific streaks, and an overall current streak of just 2. In combination, these statistics suggest McNichols is more likely to have under 1.5 receptions in this game, making that a reasonable bet.
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