Eric Comrie (Winnipeg Jets) Over 22.5 Saves (-105)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Eric Comrie in the 'Player Total Saves' market for Over 22.5 is based on his recent performance and the model's prediction. Looking at his last five home games, Comrie has an average of 24 saves, which is higher than the bet line of 22.5. His overall average of 20.2 saves is slightly below this, but his home performance is more relevant in this context. It's worth noting that Comrie has hit this bet in 6 of his last 8 home games, showing a strong trend in this direction. The model's prediction of 24.31 also supports this bet. It should be noted that while his current hit streak is zero, trends can shift and his past performance indicates a strong potential to exceed the 22.5 line. Therefore, statistical reasoning supports the bet on Comrie for Over 22.5 in 'Player Total Saves'.
Winnipeg Jets vs Boston Bruins : Boston Bruins +1.5 (-204)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The Boston Bruins are favored in this matchup according to the model prediction. Observing the L5 stats, the Bruins have shown stronger overall performance than the Jets, particularly in their away games where they have an average of 2 goals for and 2.2 goals against, compared to the Jets home games average of 2.4 goals for and 2.8 goals against. Additionally, the Bruins have a higher average of assists, both overall and in away games. Their overall performance also demonstrates a more favorable goal differential. The Jets' higher average of goals against at home suggests their defense may struggle against the Bruins' offense. Although the Jets have a better record against the Bruins, the recent performance of both teams favors the Bruins in this matchup. This data-driven analysis aligns with the model's prediction, making the Boston Bruins +1.5 a reasonable bet.
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