Spencer Knight (Chicago Blackhawks) Over 23.5 Saves (-125)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The rationale behind placing a bet on Spencer Knight for Over 23.5 in the 'Player Total Saves' market is rooted in his recent performance data. Over his last five home games, Knight has averaged 24.6 saves, which exceeds the line set by DraftKings. Notably, his model prediction indicates an expected 26.13 saves for the upcoming game, further suggesting a strong likelihood of surpassing the set line. Additionally, Knight's recent performance shows an overall upward trend. He's hit the Over in each of his last three games, demonstrating a consistent ability to make a high number of saves. Despite facing an average of 27.2 shots per home game, Knight's goals against average is relatively low at 2.6, further reflecting his solid goaltending skills. Based on these trends and statistical averages, Knight appears well-positioned to achieve Over 23.5 total saves in the forthcoming match against the New York Rangers.
Chicago Blackhawks vs New York Rangers : New York Rangers win (-147)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
A bet on the New York Rangers is justified by comparing the performance of both teams in their last five games. The Rangers have demonstrated higher offensive productivity, with better averages in assists, even-strength goals, and overall points. Their average goals against are on par with the Blackhawks, suggesting similar defensive capability. However, the Rangers have a significantly better away record (3-2) compared to the Blackhawks' home record (1-4). Most importantly, the Rangers have won 4 out of 5 recent games against the Blackhawks, indicating a team advantage. The model prediction of 0.64 and implied probability of 59.5% further support the bet on the Rangers due to their overall stronger performance and recent head-to-head record.
Chicago Blackhawks vs New York Rangers : Chicago Blackhawks +1.5 (-217)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Chicago Blackhawks +1.5 is primarily driven by their overall performance in their last 5 games and the model's prediction. Despite recent struggles at home, the Blackhawks have managed a positive overall record of 3-2 in their last 5 matches, indicating their capacity to compete and potentially win. The model prediction of 0.14 also suggests a close game. Even though the Rangers have outperformed the Blackhawks in recent matchups, the Blackhawks have shown resilience in their overall games. This resilience could allow them to keep the game within the 1.5 puck line. The Blackhawks' average goals per game are also not far off from the Rangers, indicating that they are capable of matching their offensive output. Overall, the bet on Chicago Blackhawks +1.5 is a calculated risk based on their recent performance and competitive stats.
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