Isaiah Likely (BAL) Under 17.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Statistical data suggests that betting on Isaiah Likely for Under 17.5 in the 'player_reception_yds' market is a compelling option. This is largely driven by Likely's recent performance, indicating a downward trend. His overall hit rate in the last 3, 5, and 10 games is 0/3, 1/5, and 3/10 respectively, with a similar pattern at home games. Furthermore, his current hit streak for both overall and home games is 0. While Likely's hit rate against Houston is 2/2, considering his recent overall and home performance, it's reasonable to expect that he might struggle to surpass the 17.5 yards mark. The model edge of 0.111795063905804 also leans towards the 'under' outcome. Therefore, statistical trends suggest a higher probability for Isaiah Likely to stay under 17.5 reception yards in the upcoming game against the Texans.
Isaiah Likely (BAL) Under 16.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
While Isaiah Likely has performed well against the Houston Texans in the past (with a 100% hit rate in the last 2 games), his overall and recent performance suggests a more cautious approach. He has consistently underperformed in the 'player_reception_yds' market, with an overall hit rate of just 34.78% (16/46). His recent performance also leans towards the under: his hit rate in the last 3, 5, 10, and 20 games is 0%, 20%, 20%, and 20% respectively. Even his home game performance is not strong, with a 36% (9/25) overall hit rate and a recent hit rate of 0% in the last 3 and 20% in the last 5 games. Given these underwhelming statistics, the bet for Isaiah Likely to score under 16.5 in the 'player_reception_yds' market is statistically supported.
Justice Hill (BAL) Under 14.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The statistical data suggests betting on Justice Hill to record under 14.5 reception yards. Hill's recent performance indicates a trend towards achieving less than this prop bet's benchmark. Over his last 5 games, Hill has not hit over 14.5 reception yards even once, shown by an overall hit rate of 0/5. This trend continues in his last three home games, with a hit rate of 0/3. Even when we look further back at his last ten games overall, Hill has only surpassed 14.5 yards twice (hit rate of 2/10). His current hit streak for both overall and home games is zero, suggesting a recent lack of productivity in this area. Despite having a good record against Houston (1/1), the overall trend significantly leans towards Hill not reaching the 14.5 yards mark, making the under a statistically sound bet.
Justice Hill (BAL) Under 14.5 Receiving Yards (-116)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The statistical evidence suggests betting under 14.5 for Justice Hill's receiving yards in the Ravens vs Texans game. Recent performance data indicates that Hill has not been heavily involved in the Ravens' passing game. In his last five games overall, Hill has gone under this total five times, and at home, he has gone under in four out of five games. His current streaks also suggest the under, as he has not hit over this total in his most recent games, both overall and at home. Even though he has hit over when playing against Houston, these instances are infrequent and might represent outliers rather than a consistent trend. Given the model's slight edge for the under and Hill's recent lackluster receiving performance, the under 14.5 seems a reasonable bet for this player prop.
See All Our Picks
You're viewing a preview. Subscribe today to unlock the full article and gain access to all our expert insights and best bets - every single day.
Get Bet Better Pro