Today's Top NBA Prop Bet Picks & Predictions, Wednesday 03/18 (Amen Thompson Highlights): Stat Projections & Picks

As the Raptors roll into Chicago, Jakob Poeltl is primed for a standout performance. Averaging 16.4 points and 7.8 rebounds on the road in his last five outings, he's found a nice rhythm away from home. Against the Bulls, who often struggle to contain versatile big men, Poeltl has averaged 11 points and 6.6 rebounds in past matchups. What's more, he's been on a tear lately, hitting the combined points, rebounds, and assists total in five of his last seven games. With an expected stat value soaring to 26.51, the 22.5 mark looks within reach. The Bulls' defense will have their hands full, and Poeltl's ability to impact the game on multiple levels makes this prop bet highly enticing. If he continues his away form, expect him to eclipse that 22.5 threshold with ease.

Brandin Podziemski (Golden State Warriors) Under 19.5 Points + Assists (-128)

As the Warriors roll into Boston, all eyes will be on Brandin Podziemski, but savvy bettors might want to consider the under on his points plus assists combined at 19.5. Despite his impressive recent form, hitting the mark in seven of his last eight outings, it's worth noting that he faces a formidable Celtics defense known for stifling ball movement. In away games, Podziemski has also consistently fallen short, with an average stat value hovering around 16.16. The Celtics will likely focus their defensive efforts on limiting his impact, which could significantly hinder his production. With an implied probability of 56.2% suggesting that this under is the more likely outcome, it's hard to overlook the trends. The matchup favors Boston, and it seems that Podziemski might have a tough night ahead, making the under a smart bet in this clash.

Immanuel Quickley (Toronto Raptors) Under 6.5 Assists (-154)

As Immanuel Quickley steps into Chicago's United Center, it's a good time to consider betting on the under for his assists at 6.5. While he's averaged a solid 7 assists over his last five games, his performance away from home tells a different story-averaging just 6.6 assists. Against the Bulls, Quickley's distribution has dipped to about 4.4 assists in their past encounters, and even in away games, he's only managed 5 assists against them recently.With the Raptors' offensive flow likely constricted by Chicago's defensive schemes, Quickley might find it tough to facilitate scoring opportunities. Given his last 20 outings, he's only hit the over in 14 of them, and his away performance is particularly concerning. Expect a tighter game, and Quickley to settle closer to that expected stat value of 5.38. This makes the under a compelling play.

Kris Dunn (LA Clippers) Under 4.5 Rebounds (-167)

As the Pelicans gear up to face the Clippers, Kris Dunn appears to be a prime candidate for the under on rebounds at 4.5. The numbers tell a compelling story: over his last five games, Dunn has averaged just three rebounds, and at home, that number dips to 2.4. Historically, he's struggled against the Clippers, mirroring a disappointing average of 2.4 rebounds in their recent matchups. Even more telling is Dunn's last three games, where he's managed to go under this line every time. Considering that Los Angeles tends to limit opponents to an average of just 2.2 rebounds per game on their home court, it's hard to envision Dunn breaking through the 4.5 barrier. With an expected stat value of only 2.9, betting the under on Dunn's rebounds seems like a savvy play in this matchup.

Kris Dunn (LA Clippers) Under 11.5 Points + Rebounds (-130)

As the Pelicans gear up to face the Clippers, targeting Kris Dunn for under 11.5 points and rebounds feels like a savvy play. Dunn has been averaging just 5.8 points and 3 rebounds over the last five games, which puts him well below that threshold. Even when he's playing at home, his numbers only tick up to about 7.4 points and 2.4 rebounds. Moreover, the Clippers' defense has been stingy against guards, limiting opponents to an average of 8.8 points and 2.2 rebounds at their level. With Dunn's recent performances reflecting a hit rate of 3 out of his last 4 games going under, it's clear he's struggled to find his rhythm. Given the numbers and the matchup, betting on Dunn to stay under 11.5 seems not just reasonable, but a smart move for this clash in New Orleans.