Jordan Goodwin (Phoenix Suns) Under 17.5 Points + Rebounds (-118)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Phoenix Suns gear up to face the Milwaukee Bucks, all eyes will be on Jordan Goodwin, but not for the reasons you might think. While he's proven to be a solid contributor, recently averaging just 5.6 points and 5.8 rebounds across his last five games, his output at home hasn't been much better-10 points and 3.6 rebounds on average. You'd think the Suns' home court advantage would boost his numbers, but against the Bucks, Goodwin has only managed 9 points and 6.8 rebounds in their last five encounters at home. With an expected stat value of just 12.23, it's clear this isn't the matchup for him to shine. Given his recent performance-and the Suns' balanced offensive structure-betting the under on Goodwin's combined points and rebounds at 17.5 feels like a savvy play.

Jared McCain (Oklahoma City Thunder) Under 10.5 Points (-102)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Wizards take on the Thunder, Jared McCain's scoring potential might not be what some expect. With the line set at 10.5 points, recent trends suggest that the under is the smart play here. McCain has only crossed that threshold in four of his last seven games, and his away performance paints an even clearer picture: he's hit under in 14 of his last 20 outings. Against a Thunder defense that's been surprisingly resilient at home, McCain may find it difficult to find his rhythm. The expected stat value of just 7.28 points hints at a player who might struggle to make an impact, especially in a high-pressure environment. With an implied probability of 50.5% for the under, it's a calculated risk-one that aligns well with recent trends and match conditions. Look for McCain to have a quiet night as the Wizards look to find their footing on the road.

Will Riley (Washington Wizards) Under 1.5 Threes Made (-102)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Washington Wizards gear up to face the Oklahoma City Thunder, all eyes should be on Will Riley's three-point shooting. While he's shown flashes of brilliance, hitting 12 of his last 18 attempts, recent trends suggest a dip in his long-range production. At home, Riley's only connecting on 70% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last ten games. With an expected stat value of just 1.35 threes, it's clear that he's not quite the prolific shooter we might hope for. The Thunder's defense has tightened up against perimeter threats, making it even tougher for Riley to find his rhythm. Considering all of this, the under 1.5 threes made feels like the prudent play. Betting against him hitting that mark seems wise, especially with the Wizards in a spot where they might rely more on inside scoring.

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