Alperen Sengun (Houston Rockets) Under 28.5 Points + Assists (-128)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The bet on Alperen Sengun to hit under 28.5 points + assists is supported by several key statistics. Even though Sengun's average points and assists tally in the last five games against the Utah Jazz is over the specified mark, this is skewed by his performance in home games. When playing away, his combined average for points and assists drops to 28, already under the set line. More importantly, his overall average in the last five away games is only 28 (23.8 points and 4.2 assists) and his expected stat value for this game is 26.13, both significantly lower than 28.5. Furthermore, while his hit rate is perfect in the last three games, his away hit rate is slightly less reliable at 75%. These factors suggest that Sengun is more likely to finish under 28.5 points + assists in this game.
Reed Sheppard (Houston Rockets) Under 6.5 Assists (-1250)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
Statistically, Reed Sheppard's recent performance indicates a strong rationale for under 6.5 assists. Sheppard's average assists over the last five games overall and away are 1.2 and 2 respectively, both significantly lower than the 6.5 line. Furthermore, against the Utah Jazz specifically, Sheppard's assist averages drop to zero, both overall and away. This lack of assists against this specific opponent further strengthens the under bet. Additionally, Sheppard's consistent performance is indicated by a 100% hit rate for under 6.5 assists in the last 20 games, both overall and away. Therefore, based on Sheppard's recent performance, particularly against the Jazz, the under 6.5 assists bet is statistically supported.
Keyonte George (Utah Jazz) Under 38.5 Points + Assists (-1429)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The under 38.5 bet for Keyonte George's combined points and assists is supported by several key statistics. Firstly, George's average points and assists in the last five home games are 16.8 and 5.8 respectively, totaling just 22.6, significantly lower than the 38.5 outcome point. Additionally, George's averages against the Rockets, whether at home or overall, are also below this threshold (23.2 and 23.6 respectively). The expected stat value of 22.04 further suggests George is unlikely to exceed the outcome point. Lastly, the overall hit rate of 20/20 in the last 20 games for the under bet indicates a consistent trend of George not crossing this mark. These statistics collectively suggest that it is statistically unlikely for George to accumulate over 38.5 points and assists in this game.
Alperen Sengun (Houston Rockets) Yes Double-Double (-127)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Alperen Sengun achieving a double-double in the Utah Jazz vs Houston Rockets game is substantiated by his robust statistical performance in recent games. Sengun has an impressive average of 20.6 points and 11.6 rebounds in his last 5 games, demonstrating his propensity to achieve a double-double. This trend is even more pronounced in away games, with averages of 23.8 points and 11.8 rebounds. His performance against the Utah Jazz is also noteworthy, averaging 30 points and 11 rebounds in away games. Furthermore, his hit rate in the last 6 games is 5/6, and in the last 5 away games, a perfect 5/5, suggesting a high likelihood of repeating this achievement. Therefore, these statistics strongly support the bet for Sengun to achieve a double-double in this game.
Amen Thompson (Houston Rockets) Under 39.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-1429)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The bet on Amen Thompson for Under 39.5 in the Utah Jazz vs Houston Rockets game is based on statistical insights into Thompson's performance. Specifically, Thompson's average in the last five games for points, rebounds, and assists combined is well below the 39.5 threshold. Even when considering his higher performance levels in Away games and against this specific opponent, his average still falls short. In his last five away games, Thompson has scored an average of 26.2 points, rebounds, and assists combined; against the Utah Jazz, this figure is slightly higher at 32.7. Despite this, it is still significantly lower than the required 39.5. Additionally, Thompson has a track record of consistent performance, with a 100% hit rate in the last 20 overall games and the last 12 away games.
Steven Adams (Memphis Grizzlies) Under 6.5 Points (-141)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Steven Adams' recent performance data supports the under 6.5 points bet. His average points scored against the Utah Jazz, the opponent team for the upcoming game, is only 2. This trend holds true even when he plays away from home, implying that the location doesn't significantly affect his scoring against the Jazz. Furthermore, his overall hit rate for the last 20 games is at 85% (17 out of 20) and his away hit rate for the last 10 games is 80% (8 out of 10). Although his average overall points scored in the last five games is slightly over the line (6.6), his performance against the Jazz suggests that he is likely to score fewer points in the upcoming game. Thus, the data indicates that the under bet is a good choice.
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