Today's Top MLB Prop Bet Picks & Predictions, Saturday 09/27 (Shea Langeliers Highlights): Best Value Bets

Betting under 3.5 for Mike Trout in the Batter Hits Runs RBIs market is a solid choice based on his recent performance data. Over his last five games, both overall and at home, Trout's average for hits, runs, and RBIs combined is well below the line of 3.5. His overall averages are 0.4 hits, 0.6 runs, and 0.4 RBIs, while his home averages are slightly higher but still under the line with 0.6 hits, 0.6 runs, and 0.2 RBIs. Even when considering his performance against the Astros, his averages remain below 3.5. Despite a current hit streak, the data suggests Trout is unlikely to exceed 3.5 in the combined hits, runs, and RBIs in the upcoming game, making the under bet a statistically sound choice.

Jake McCarthy (ARI) Under 4.5 Total Bases (-385)

The under 4.5 bet on Jake McCarthy's total bases is backed by his recent performance data. Over his last five games, McCarthy's overall batting average is low at 0.4 hits per game, with no home runs, doubles, or triples. His away game statistics are even less impressive, with zero hits, doubles, triples, and a minimal 0.2 home run average. When playing against the Padres, his hit average slightly improves to 1, but his double average remains low at 0.4, with no triples or home runs. Despite his impressive overall and away hit streaks, McCarthy's lack of extra-base hits, especially in away games, makes it unlikely for him to achieve over 4.5 total bases. Hence, the under 4.5 bet is a strong choice based on his current performance data.

Brent Rooker (ATH) Under 1.5 Singles (-250)

The bet on Brent Rooker for under 1.5 in the Batter Singles market is a solid choice based on his recent performance data. Rooker's average number of singles, both overall and away, is 0.8 over the last five games, which is significantly lower than the line of 1.5. His overall batting average is also below the line, at 1.6 hits for the last five games, and it drops to 1.4 when playing away. Despite his current hit streaks, the averages suggest that it's unlikely for Rooker to hit over 1.5 singles in the upcoming game against the Oakland Athletics. Therefore, the under 1.5 bet is statistically backed as a more probable outcome.

Jacob Wilson (ATH) Over 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-147)

Jacob Wilson is a strong bet for Over 0.5 in the Batter Hits Runs Rbis market due to his consistent performance, particularly in away games. His last 5 away games average (L5 Away Hits Avg) is 1.6, which is higher than his overall average (L5 Overall Hits Avg) of 1.4. This indicates that he performs better when playing away. His away current hit streak is also impressive at 13 games, suggesting a high likelihood of hitting in the upcoming game. Although his overall current hit streak is zero, his away performance data is more relevant in this context. Furthermore, his Runs and RBIs averages (0.4 each for away games) add to the likelihood of him exceeding the line of 0.5. Therefore, based on his superior away performance and current hit streak, betting on Jacob Wilson for Over 0.5 is a data-driven choice.

Geraldo Perdomo (ARI) Under 4.5 Total Bases (-370)

The under bet on Geraldo Perdomo for Total Bases is backed by his recent performance data, showing a consistent lack of high-value hits. Perdomo's last five games have yielded an average of 0.6 hits, with no home runs and only 0.2 doubles. His performance against the Padres is similar, with an average of 0.8 hits and no home runs or doubles. Even his away game statistics, despite a commendable hit streak, reveal a low average of 0.8 hits with no home runs. The only slightly higher statistic is for triples (0.2), but this is still not enough to significantly boost his total bases. Therefore, despite his hitting consistency, Perdomo's lack of high-value hits makes the under 4.5 bet a reasonable choice based on the provided data.