Today's Top AFL Player Prop Bet Picks & Predictions, Sunday 08/31 (Lachie Weller Highlights): Finding the Edge

Ben Ainsworth presents a strong case to snag a goal in the Fremantle vs. Gold Coast matchup. His recent form, averaging 1 goal per game over his last five away matches, is promising. Averaging 2 shots on goal and 0.8 marks inside 50 in away games, he's consistently involved in scoring opportunities. With a solid goal accuracy of 43.3% away from home and 5.2 score involvements per game, Ainsworth is a reliable offensive threat. Additionally, facing Fremantle, against whom he has averaged 1 goal in their past encounters, further boosts his chances to hit the scoreboard. These stats, coupled with his consistent performance, make Ainsworth a favorable pick to score anytime in this game.

Patrick Dangerfield (Geelong Cats) Under 15.5 Disposals (-119)

Patrick Dangerfield averaging 14.6 disposals in his last 5 home games, facing an opponent where he averages 18.4 disposals, suggests he may struggle to reach the bookmaker's line of 15.5. His recent stats, including 6.8 kicks and 7.8 handballs, fall below the required pace. With a model predicting 12.5 disposals and a significant 17.9% edge, his current form, despite a 5/7 hit rate in home games, supports the under bet. Additionally, his turnovers and uncontested possessions indicate potential limitations in reaching the line. This bet capitalizes on his recent performance trends and matchup dynamics.

Ethan Read (Gold Coast SUNS) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-200)

Ethan Read is a strong candidate to snag a goal in the upcoming Fremantle vs. Gold Coast clash. With a solid average of 1 goal in his last 5 away games, a 33.3% goal accuracy, and an average of 2.4 shots at goal per game, he displays a consistent attacking threat. His 1.6 marks inside 50 and 3.6 score involvements per game further highlight his goal-scoring potential. Facing Fremantle, who might offer opportunities for goal-scoring chances, Read's recent form and involvement in creating scoring opportunities make him a favorable choice to hit the scoreboard. The model's prediction of 1.3 goals aligns with his recent performances, indicating a strong chance for Read to contribute to the goal tally.

Dylan Moore (Hawthorn) Over 19.5 Disposals (-116)

Dylan Moore's recent form and matchup against GWS Giants favor him exceeding 19.5 disposals. With a solid 18.4 disposals average in his last 5 away games and facing an opponent where he averages 17.8 disposals, Moore is poised to build on his performance. His consistent contested possessions (5.6) and disposal efficiency (64.3%) provide a strong foundation. Additionally, his 251.2 metres gained and 9.2 kicks per game indicate his involvement in Hawthorn's offensive plays, increasing his chances of surpassing the line. Moore's overall disposals average of 23.2 further supports this bet, highlighting his capability to meet or exceed the predicted 22.4 disposals.

Dylan Moore (Hawthorn) Over 19.5 Disposals (-116)

Dylan Moore is poised to shine with a model-predicted 22.4 disposals, significantly exceeding his 19.5 line. His recent form, averaging 18.4 disposals in away games and 23.2 overall, indicates consistent performance. Facing GWS Giants, where he averages 17.8 disposals away and 19.2 overall, Moore is likely to meet or surpass the line. With a strong contested possession average of 5.6 and efficient disposal rate of 64.3%, Moore's ability to find the ball and utilize it effectively bodes well for exceeding expectations. Despite a hit rate of 4/6 in his last 6 games, Moore's upward trajectory and matchup trends suggest a solid opportunity for him to surpass the 19.5 disposals mark.