Ben Ainsworth (Gold Coast SUNS) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-132)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Ben Ainsworth is poised to snag a goal in the upcoming game. His recent away form showcases a consistent goal-scoring ability, averaging 1 goal per game and demonstrating a solid goal accuracy of 43.3%. With an average of 2 shots at goal and 5.2 score involvements in his last 5 away games, Ainsworth is actively involved in creating scoring opportunities. Facing Fremantle, where he has averaged 0 goals in their last encounters, Ainsworth is due for a breakthrough. His track record of 1.2 goals over his last 5 games overall further strengthens this bet. The model's prediction of 1.1 goals for him provides additional confidence in his goal-scoring potential, making Ainsworth a promising pick to hit the back of the net in this matchup.
Jake Stringer (GWS GIANTS) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-312)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Jake Stringer's recent form, especially in home games, indicates a strong likelihood of him snagging a goal against Hawthorn. With an average of 2.4 goals per game at home in his last five matches, facing an opponent against whom he averages 4 goals in the same period, Stringer has consistently delivered in front of the big sticks. His impressive goal accuracy of 53.7% and an average of 4 shots at goal per game further support his scoring potential. Additionally, his high average of 6 score involvements and 1.6 marks inside 50 highlight his impact on the attacking plays. Considering his recent performance and matchup history, betting on Jake Stringer to score anytime seems like a promising choice.
Logan Morris (Brisbane Lions) Over 1.5 Goals (-149)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Logan Morris presents a strong case to go over 1.5 goals in the upcoming Geelong Cats vs. Brisbane Lions clash. His recent form, averaging 3.4 goals in his last five away games, paired with a solid goal accuracy of 56.4% and frequent shot opportunities (5 shots at goal per game), indicates his goal-scoring prowess. Facing Geelong, against whom he has averaged 3.5 goals in his last five encounters, further boosts his potential. With a current away hit streak of 2 and an impressive 4 out of 5 games hitting this mark, Morris is poised to continue his goal-scoring streak, making the Over 1.5 goals bet a compelling choice for AFL punters.
Jesse Hogan (GWS GIANTS) Over 1.5 Goals (-169)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Jesse Hogan is poised to surpass 1.5 goals against Hawthorn based on recent performance trends. With an average of 1.4 goals in his last five home games and facing an opponent where he averages 3.2 goals, Hogan's scoring potential is evident. His consistent involvement in scoring opportunities, indicated by 4 score involvements per game, and an average of 3.2 shots at goal, point to his active role in the Giants' forward line. Hogan's accuracy, although around 39.1%, is offset by his ability to generate scoring chances. Considering his recent form and the matchup dynamics, Hogan's goal-scoring proficiency makes the Over 1.5 goals bet a favorable choice for this AFL encounter.
Patrick Dangerfield (Geelong Cats) Under 15.5 Disposals (-119)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Patrick Dangerfield is likely to fall short of 15.5 disposals based on his recent form. Despite averaging 14.6 disposals in his last five home games, he faces the Brisbane Lions, against whom he only averages 18.4 disposals. With his contested possessions at 8.8 and an average of 6.8 kicks in recent home games, his performance may not reach the line. Additionally, his turnovers at 2.6 and disposalefficiency at 73.7% suggest potential challenges in maintaining possession. Considering his current hit rate and opponent history, the model's prediction of 12.5 with a small standard deviation of 5 supports a strategic bet on Dangerfield to go under 15.5 disposals in this match.
Dylan Moore (Hawthorn) Over 19.5 Disposals (-122)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Dylan Moore is poised to excel in the disposals department based on his recent form. With a model prediction of 22.4 disposals and a strong 16.6% edge, Moore's L5 average of 18.4 disposals, including 17.8 against the upcoming opponent, suggests he's likely to surpass the set line of 19.5. His consistent contested possessions (5.6) and effective disposals (64.3%) further support this bet. Despite a turnover average of 4, Moore's ability to gain meters (251.2) and maintain a high dispossession rate indicate his potential to contribute significantly to Hawthorn's midfield. This, combined with his current hit rate trend of 4/6, makes Moore a promising choice to exceed 19.5 disposals against the GWS Giants.
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