Detroit Pistons vs Atlanta Hawks : Detroit Pistons -7.5 (-110)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Despite the Detroit Pistons' recent lackluster performance, the bet on 'Detroit Pistons -7.5' for the Point Spread market is driven by the expectation of a strong rebounding performance. The Pistons have a higher scoring average at home (106) compared to the Hawks' average on the road (117.2), a difference that could be critical in this game. It's also worth noting that the Hawks have allowed an average of 120 points in their last five away games, higher than the 119.6 points the Pistons have allowed at home. This implies that the Pistons might have an advantage in a potentially high-scoring game. Furthermore, the fact that the model prediction is at 4.81 and the model edge at 31.3% indicates a potential for an upset, given the Pistons' capability to outperform expectations.
Philadelphia 76ers vs Indiana Pacers : Indiana Pacers Over 98.5 Team Total Points (-526)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on 'Indiana Pacers Over 98.5' for Team Total Points is well-supported by recent performance data. In the last five games, the Pacers' team score has consistently exceeded this threshold, with an average of 122.2 points overall and 117.8 points in away games. This demonstrates their ability to maintain a high scoring rate regardless of location. Despite their 2-3 record in recent games, their point generation remains strong. The model prediction further supports this bet, estimating the Pacers will score 124.8 points in the upcoming match against the 76ers, substantially higher than the 98.5 points line. Therefore, betting on the Pacers to score over 98.5 points is a statistically sound choice.
Charlotte Hornets vs Chicago Bulls : Chicago Bulls Over 106.5 Team Total Points (-476)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on 'Chicago Bulls Over 106.5' in the Team Total Points market looks promising due to the Bulls' recent scoring on the road. Over their last five away games, they have averaged 111.6 points per game, which is comfortably above the 106.5 line set for this game. Additionally, their overall average score in the last five games, home or away, is 108.6. This suggests consistent scoring ability above the bet line. The fact that the model's prediction is significantly higher than the outcome point further bolsters the confidence in this bet. Thus, the Bulls' recent scoring performance and model prediction data indicate that they will likely score over 106.5 points in the upcoming game against the Hornets.
Charlotte Hornets vs Chicago Bulls : Chicago Bulls -3.5 (-110)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Betting on the Chicago Bulls with a -3.5 point spread is a strong choice in this matchup against the Charlotte Hornets. The Bulls show a superior performance in recent games, with an overall 3-2 win record in their last 5 away games, compared to the Hornets' 1-4 home record. Furthermore, the Bulls have outscored the Hornets in the last 5 games, averaging 108.6 points versus the Hornets' 102.8. This trend continues when looking at their scoring on the road, with the Bulls averaging 111.6 points in away games compared to the Hornets' 103.6 at home. Finally, the Bulls have a stronger historical record against the Hornets, winning 3 of their last 5 matchups. These statistics suggest the Bulls are likely to cover a -3.5 point spread.
Charlotte Hornets vs Chicago Bulls : Over 208.5 Total Points (-1250)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The bet on 'Over 208.5' for the Charlotte Hornets vs Chicago Bulls game is justified by the teams' recent scoring data. Over their last five games, the Hornets have averaged 102.8 points and the Bulls 108.6, already totaling 211.4, which surpasses the set total of 208.5. Additionally, considering each team's last five games at home for the Hornets and away for the Bulls, the average scores rise to 103.6 and 111.6 respectively, totaling 215.2 points. Moreover, both teams have demonstrated defensive vulnerabilities, with the Hornets allowing an average of 115.2 points and the Bulls 105.6 in their last five games, suggesting a high-scoring game. The model prediction of 247.83 further supports this bet. Therefore, given both teams' recent offensive performances and defensive struggles, betting 'Over 208.5' seems a statistically sound choice.
Memphis Grizzlies vs Utah Jazz : Memphis Grizzlies win (-294)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The betting rationale for the Memphis Grizzlies lies in their superior home performance and scoring record. Despite both teams having an equal head-to-head record in their last 5 matches (2-2), the Grizzlies have a strong home record (4-1) compared to the Jazz's away record (1-4). Moreover, the Grizzlies' scoring record at home (124.6) exceeds the Jazz's away scoring record (116.4), indicating a greater offensive prowess in their home court. Plus, the Grizzlies' overall score in the last 5 games (118.8) is higher than the Jazz's (115.2), suggesting a consistent scoring ability. Therefore, statistically, the Grizzlies have a significant edge in this match, making them a solid bet for the Moneyline market.
See All Our Picks
You're viewing a preview. Subscribe today to unlock the full article and gain access to all our expert insights and best bets - every single day.
Get Bet Better Pro