San Jose Sharks vs New Jersey Devils : San Jose Sharks +1.5 (-132)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The rationale for betting on San Jose Sharks +1.5 in the Puck Line market primarily lies in the Sharks' recent home game performance. Despite a poor home record (0-5), the Sharks have shown resilience with an average score of 2.6 goals in their last five home games, and 3.8 overall. On the other hand, their opponents, the New Jersey Devils, have conceded an average of 4 goals in their last five away games. The Sharks' potential to score is further underscored by their average of 2.8 EVgoals and 0.8 PPgoals in their recent games. Given the model's prediction, it suggests a tight game, possibly decided by a one-goal margin. Therefore, providing the Sharks with a 1.5 goal head start increases the chances of a winning bet, as even a one-goal loss for the Sharks would result in a successful wager.
Jack Hughes (New Jersey Devils) Yes Anytime Goalscorer (+125)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The bet on Jack Hughes to score at any time during the San Jose Sharks vs New Jersey Devils game is driven by his impressive recent performance. His L5 away games show an average goal rate of 0.8, which is higher than the model prediction of 0.48. Furthermore, his total shots average of 3.2 in these games indicates a high involvement in offensive play. His overall performance also supports this bet, with an average of 1.2 goals across the last 5 games and a current hit streak of 2. Additionally, his overall hit rate in the last 7 games is 5/7, suggesting a consistent scoring pattern. His gamewinning and overtime goals averages also contribute to the rationale, as they signify his ability to score crucial goals. These statistics collectively justify the bet on Hughes to score at any time during the game.
San Jose Sharks vs New Jersey Devils : San Jose Sharks win (+188)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The bet on San Jose Sharks is primarily backed by their overall performance in their last five games, where they have been able to average more goals (3.8) than their opponent, the New Jersey Devils (4.0). Although the Sharks have struggled at home with a 0-5 record, their L5 overall record and performance against the Devils (both 2-3) shows they have the ability to compete. The Sharks' average of 2.8 EVgoals and their 0.8 PPgoals, higher than their home game averages, can play a crucial role in this matchup. The model prediction of 0.38 also indicates the Sharks have a competitive chance to win. Therefore, despite their recent home struggles, the combination of San Jose's offensive statistics and their ability to compete against the Devils has led to this bet.
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