San Jose Sharks vs Columbus Blue Jackets : San Jose Sharks +4.5 (-5000)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The bet on the San Jose Sharks with a 4.5 spread is supported by both their recent performance and comparative stats. In their last five home games, the Sharks have averaged 1.4 goals per game, compared to the Blue Jackets' away average of just 0.6. This suggests a better offensive output by the Sharks at home. Additionally, the Sharks have a positive home record of 3-2, indicating their ability to leverage home advantage. Furthermore, head-to-head records also support this bet, with the Sharks having won 3 of their last 5 encounters against the Blue Jackets. While the Sharks have been allowing more goals against on average, the large spread of 4.5 provides a cushion for this risk. Therefore, the bet on the Sharks with a 4.5 spread is statistically justified.
Macklin Celebrini (San Jose Sharks) Over 0.5 Points (-455)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The bet on Macklin Celebrini to score over 0.5 points is supported by his consistent recent performance. Celebrini's L5 home games and overall EVpoints averages are both above the line set by the bookmaker, indicating his ability to consistently score points. Further, he demonstrates a strong performance at home as evidenced by his L5 home games points average (1.4) and PPpoints average (0.4). Impressively, Celebrini is on a current hit streak of seven both at home and overall, meaning he has been able to score in each of his past seven games. This pattern of consistency and his strong performance in recent games make Celebrini a reliable choice for scoring over 0.5 points in the upcoming game against the Columbus Blue Jackets.
San Jose Sharks vs Columbus Blue Jackets : Columbus Blue Jackets win (-127)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The bet on the Columbus Blue Jackets is backed by several factors. Historically, the Blue Jackets' performance against the Sharks is evenly matched, with both teams having a 2-3 record in their last five games against each other. However, the Blue Jackets have a distinct advantage when it comes to defence. In their last five games, the Sharks have conceded an average of 4.8 goals, compared to the Blue Jackets' 2.4. Additionally, the Sharks have struggled offensively, scoring an average of only 1.4 goals in their last five home games. Despite the Blue Jackets' lower scoring average, their superior defence is likely to give them the edge. Furthermore, the model prediction supports this, favouring the Blue Jackets with a 0.58 probability of winning. This, combined with their defensive prowess, makes them the favourable bet.
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