New York Islanders vs New Jersey Devils : Under 10.5 Total Goals (-5000)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The bet on 'Under 10.5' in the New York Islanders vs New Jersey Devils game is primarily based on the recent performance of both teams. The Islanders' L5 home games average 0.6 goals and the Devils' L5 away games average 0.4 goals, suggesting a low-scoring encounter. Additionally, both teams have a low average of goals against, with the Islanders at 1.8 and the Devils at 2.2. The model prediction of 1.42 also supports a low scoring game. Furthermore, the power play (PPgoals) and short-handed (SHgoals) stats also show minimal goal production, reinforcing the expectation of minimal scoring in the game. Finally, both teams' recent records against each other (Islanders 3-2, Devils 2-3) do not suggest games with high goal totals. The combination of these factors gives a strong rationale for a bet on 'Under 10.5'.
New York Islanders vs New Jersey Devils : New York Islanders +1.5 (-263)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The rationale for betting on the New York Islanders with a 1.5 puck line is supported by their comparative performance data and model predictions. Looking at the L5 stats, the Islanders, despite their home record, have shown a more stable defensive performance than the Devils. In their last five games, the Islanders have conceded an average of 1.8 goals while the Devils have conceded 2.2 goals on average in their away games and 2.8 overall. This suggests that the Islanders are more likely to keep the scoreline closer. Furthermore, the Islanders have a superior head-to-head record, winning 3 out of their last 5 games against the Devils, which indicates they match up well against this particular opponent. Given these factors, it's statistically reasonable to bet on the Islanders covering the 1.5 puck line.
New York Islanders vs New Jersey Devils : New Jersey Devils win (-115)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The betting rationale for the New Jersey Devils is driven by their superior performance in their recent away games, as compared to the New York Islanders' home game performance. In their last five (L5) away games, the Devils have a record of 3-2, better than the Islanders' home game record of 1-4. Additionally, the Devils have a higher average of assists, even strength (EV) points, and shots on goal in their L5 away games, indicating a more aggressive and potentially higher scoring potential. Although the Devils have a slightly higher goals against average, their overall performance indicators suggest a higher probability of winning. This is supported by the model prediction of 0.61 in favor of the Devils, reflecting a strong statistical edge for this team. Hence, the New Jersey Devils are a favorable bet in the Moneyline market for this game.
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