Ochai Agbaji (Brooklyn Nets) Under 1.5 Threes Made (-200)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Ochai Agbaji is stepping into a tough arena against the Sacramento Kings, and I'm betting he'll struggle to hit the mark on threes made. While he's been solid overall, averaging 1.4 threes in his last five games, his away performances tell a different story-just 0.8 made per game. The Kings have a knack for stifling perimeter shooting, and Agbaji's numbers reflect that; he's only averaging 1.5 threes against them when playing away, which is right on the edge.Recent trends also paint a picture of inconsistency; although he's hit the over in his last three away games, he's not replicating that form each night. With an expected stat value of just 0.75, and a hefty implied probability working against him, targeting the under on Agbaji feels like a savvy play for this matchup. The odds are stacked, and I like our chances here.

Josh Minott (Brooklyn Nets) Under 4.5 Rebounds (-145)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Heading into the matchup against the Sacramento Kings, Josh Minott's rebounding prowess is under the microscope, and the numbers suggest he might have a quiet night on the boards. With an expected stat value of just 2.85, the under 4.5 rebounds bet feels like a wise move. Minott's recent form has been stellar, but let's not overlook the context-he's been away from home, where he's hit the under in each of his last 16 games. The Kings present a tough challenge, particularly with their strong frontcourt presence, which could limit his opportunities. Considering he's only cleared this mark once in his last 20 games, it's clear that the odds are stacked against him. With an implied probability of 59.2% for the under, this is a spot where the numbers align perfectly with the narrative. Don't expect Minott to crash the boards too hard tonight; the under looks like a solid call.

Maxime Raynaud (Sacramento Kings) Under 9.5 Rebounds (-109)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Kings prepare to face the Nets, all eyes should be on Maxime Raynaud's rebounding numbers. Despite his promising start, the trend suggests he might struggle to hit the over on 9.5 boards tonight. In fact, Raynaud has only surpassed this mark once in his last five games, giving him a solid hit rate of just 20%. Even more telling is his home performance, where he's managed to pull down double digits only 15 times in his last 20 games-an impressive rate, but not consistent enough to bank on for this matchup.The Kings will likely focus on their perimeter game against Brooklyn, which could limit Raynaud's rebounding opportunities. With an expected stat value of 8.64 and an implied probability suggesting he stays under 9.5, taking the under on Raynaud tonight feels like a savvy play. It's a calculated bet that aligns perfectly with current trends and game dynamics.

Nique Clifford (Sacramento Kings) Under 5.5 Rebounds (-147)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Nique Clifford may be a promising young talent, but Sunday's matchup against the Brooklyn Nets could see him struggle to reach the glass. With an expected rebound value of just 4.23, the odds are tilted toward him landing under the 5.5 mark. Historically, he's been on the lower side of the rebounding spectrum, hitting the under in four of his last five games. Playing at home should give him a slight boost, but let's not forget that the Kings have a strong frontcourt presence. This means Clifford might find it tough to carve out his space for boards. Over the last 20 games at home, he's managed just 15 hits above this line, highlighting a trend that suggests he might not be the go-to guy on the boards. With the implied probability sitting at 59.5%, it's a solid play to bet on Nique staying under 5.5 rebounds.

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