Brice Sensabaugh (Utah Jazz) Under 6.5 Rebounds + Assists (-152)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Portland Trail Blazers gear up to face the Utah Jazz, all eyes will be on Brice Sensabaugh, particularly for his combined rebounds and assists. While his potential is undeniable, the numbers suggest a different narrative. Over his last five games, he's averaging just 3.4 rebounds and 1.8 assists, leaving him comfortably below the 6.5 mark we're targeting. On the road, Sensabaugh's averages dip slightly, with just 4.2 rebounds and 2.8 assists. Against the Jazz specifically, he's managed just 1 rebound and 3 assists in their last away matchup. With a hit rate of 15 out of his last 20 away games leaning under this line, it seems the odds are stacked against him. While the potential is there, the realities of this matchup suggest he'll struggle to reach that threshold. Betting the under looks like a savvy move here.

Cody Williams (Utah Jazz) Under 3.5 Rebounds (-154)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Trail Blazers head into Utah, all eyes will be on Cody Williams, but a savvy bet is to take the under on his rebounds at 3.5. Williams has been solid lately, averaging 3.4 boards on the road, but when facing the Jazz, he's struggled to make an impact, pulling down just one rebound per game in their last five matchups. Moreover, his overall performance shows a stark contrast; he's hit the under in 10 of his last 13 away games. With an expected stat value of just 2.52 and having only averaged 1.6 rebounds in his last five outings, the numbers strongly suggest that he might be outmatched against Utah's frontcourt. Betting the under on Williams feels like a calculated move that aligns perfectly with the trends we've seen.

Jrue Holiday (Boston Celtics) Over 3.5 Rebounds (-172)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

When you look at Jrue Holiday's recent performance, he's been a consistent force on the boards. With an average of four rebounds in his last five outings, he's shown he can surpass the 3.5 mark with relative ease, especially when facing teams like the Utah Jazz. The Jazz tend to allow around four rebounds per game to opposing guards, creating a favorable matchup for Holiday. Moreover, his recent history presents a compelling case: he's hit the over in three straight games and four out of his last five at home. This kind of form, paired with an expected stat value of 4.6 rebounds, suggests that he's not just maintaining, but potentially elevating his game as the Blazers look to capitalize on their home court advantage. With a solid implied probability of 63.3%, betting the over on Holiday's rebounds feels like a smart play here.

Portland Trail Blazers vs Utah Jazz : Portland Trail Blazers Over 115.5 Team Total Points (-556)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Basketball fans know that the Portland Trail Blazers have a knack for lighting up the scoreboard, and the statistics back it up. Their matchup against the Utah Jazz is no exception. After crunching the numbers, our model predicts the Trail Blazers are set to score around 118.48 points. That's a comfortable margin over the posted total of 115.5 points. Let's not forget, the Trail Blazers have a proven track record of high scoring games, and against a team like the Jazz, they're likely to push the pace. The model's 84.7% implied probability reinforces this prediction, giving us further confidence in an over 115.5 points bet. While every bet comes with its risks, the data suggests that the Trail Blazers' high-octane offense will break the 115.5 points barrier. So, get ready for a night of high scores and thrilling basketball action.

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