Mitch Georgiades (Port Adelaide) Over 1.5 Goals (-278)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Mitch Georgiades has been in stellar form, averaging 2.6 goals in his last five home games. Facing Carlton, where he has averaged 4 goals in their recent matchups, his goal-scoring potential is high. With a model prediction of 2.6 goals (18.1% edge), and considering his recent performance with 6 shots on goal and 4.2 marks inside 50, the Over 1.5 goals bet is well-supported. Despite a slight dip in goal accuracy at 37.4%, his scoring involvements averaging 6.8 and consistent shot opportunities make this a favorable wager. Georgiades' recent form and history against Carlton make him a strong candidate to snag multiple goals in this upcoming home game.

Adam Saad (Carlton) Over 14.5 Disposals (-476)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Adam Saad is poised to shine in the upcoming away game against Port Adelaide, with a model predicting him to amass 20.6 disposals, a notable 6.1% edge. His recent form supports this projection, averaging 19.8 disposals in his last five away games, exceeding the line comfortably. Saad's current hit streak of 4 away games and 8 overall showcases his consistency in meeting or surpassing expectations. His proficiency in contested possessions, disposals efficiency, and intercepts further solidifies his ability to achieve over 14.5 disposals. With a strong statistical backing and a hot streak, backing Saad to surpass 14.5 disposals presents a compelling betting opportunity.

Adam Cerra (Carlton) Over 19.5 Disposals (-625)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Adam Cerra is poised to shine in this matchup based on his recent form. With strong averages of 26.4 disposals in his last five away games and a consistent disposal efficiency of 70.4%, Cerra's ability to find the ball and use it effectively is evident. Additionally, his 5-game hit streak and 5/5 hit rate further support his reliability in meeting or exceeding the line. Facing Port Adelaide, against whom he averages 21.3 disposals, Cerra is likely to capitalize on his momentum to surpass the 19.5 disposal line comfortably. The model's prediction of 25.1 disposals with a small edge further strengthens the case for backing Cerra to go over in this game.

See All Our Picks

You're viewing a preview. Subscribe today to unlock the full article and gain access to all our expert insights and best bets - every single day.

Get Bet Better Pro