Trea Turner (PHI) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-345)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The rationale for betting on Trea Turner for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market lies in his recent performance data. Turner's last five games show an average of 0.4 stolen bases overall, which drops to zero when considering away games or games against the Pirates. This indicates that Turner's likelihood of stealing a base is significantly reduced when playing away from home or against this specific opponent. Furthermore, despite his current hit streak, there has been no increase in his stolen base average. The absence of caught stealing (Cs) instances does not significantly impact this analysis, as the focus is on the lack of successful stolen bases. Overall, Turner's recent performance indicates a low probability of him stealing a base in the upcoming game against the Pirates.

Oneil Cruz (PIT) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-400)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The under 0.5 bet for Oneil Cruz in the Batter Stolen Bases market is a solid choice based on his recent performance data. The L5 (last 5 games) stats show an overall and home stolen base average of just 0.4, suggesting that Cruz seldom steals bases. Furthermore, his L5 stats against the Philadelphia Phillies show no stolen bases, indicating that this opponent particularly stifles his ability to steal. Also, his current hit streaks, both overall and at home, are relatively low, implying a lower likelihood of getting on base and thus fewer opportunities to steal. Additionally, there's no record of him being caught stealing in recent games, which could suggest he's not taking many risks in this area. This data-driven analysis strongly supports the under 0.5 bet for Cruz's stolen bases.

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