Pittsburgh Penguins vs Washington Capitals : Washington Capitals win (-115)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on the Washington Capitals is supported by their superior recent performance, especially in away games. Over the last five games, the Capitals have a solid 4-1 away record while the Penguins have a weaker 3-2 home record. The Capitals also have a strong defensive record, allowing an average of only 1.4 goals per game, compared to the Penguins' 3.4 goals allowed at home. Furthermore, the head-to-head record between the two teams leans heavily in favor of the Capitals, who have won four of the last five matchups against the Penguins. These stats, combined with the model's prediction of a 62% winning probability for the Capitals, provide a compelling rationale for betting on the Washington Capitals.
Arturs Silovs (Pittsburgh Penguins) Over 23.5 Saves (-130)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Arturs Silovs' recent performance indicates a strong probability of exceeding the line of 23.5 total saves. Over his last five home games, he has averaged 26 saves, already surpassing the bet line. This trend is even more pronounced when considering his overall performances, with an average of 30.2 saves over the last five games. Further, his recent form is encouraging, with a current hit streak of 3 overall and a hit rate of 100% in the last 3 games. The model prediction of 25.98 supports this trend, which is above the bet line and within one standard deviation (7.2). This data suggests that Silovs is consistently facing a high number of shots (L5 average of 32.8) and making a significant number of saves per game, thus making the 'Over' bet a statistically solid choice.
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