Jose Quintana (MIL) Over 2.5 Hits Allowed (-1000)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Jose Quintana for Over 2.5 in the Pitcher Hits Allowed market is backed by his recent performance data. Over the last five games, Quintana has averaged 4.2 hits allowed overall and 4.8 hits allowed when playing away. This is significantly higher than the line of 2.5. Furthermore, his average innings pitched both overall and away are above 5, giving ample opportunities for hits to occur. Against the Phillies, his hits allowed average increases to 5.6. Moreover, Quintana is currently on a hit streak, having allowed hits in his last four games overall and in his last 25 away games. This consistent pattern of allowing more than 2.5 hits, especially when playing away and against the Phillies, makes this bet a statistically sound choice.

Bryson Stott (PHI) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-1111)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Betting on Bryson Stott for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is a good choice considering his recent performance data. His Last 5 (L5) overall stolen base average is 0.4, which is below the line of 0.5. Furthermore, when playing at home, his stolen base average is 0.6, still a close call to the line. Notably, his L5 stolen base average against the Brewers is only 0.2, suggesting that he's less likely to steal bases against this particular team. Additionally, his overall current hit streak is only 2, which indicates he may not be at his peak performance. Even though his home current hit streak is 9, the specific performance against the Brewers and his recent overall performance suggest it's more probable he will stay under 0.5 stolen bases.

Joey Ortiz (MIL) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-1250)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The under 0.5 bet for Joey Ortiz's stolen bases is a good choice based on his recent performance data. In the last five games overall, Ortiz has had zero stolen bases and zero caught stealing. His performance away from home is not much different, with an average of 0.4 stolen bases and zero caught stealing. When playing against the Phillies, his stolen base average drops even further to 0.2. Despite a current hit streak of 7 overall and 1 away, these hits are not translating into stolen bases. Therefore, it's statistically unlikely that Ortiz will steal a base in the upcoming game against the Phillies, making the under 0.5 bet a solid choice.

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