Latest MLB betting preview: Philadelphia Phillies vs Chicago Cubs. Get predictions and top picks. Includes analysis on key players like Trea Turner. Keywords: MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, Philadelphia Phillies vs Chicago Cubs stats and odds.
Trea Turner (PHI) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-476)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Trea Turner for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is backed by several key statistics. Firstly, Turner's L5 overall SB average, L5 home SB average, and L5 vs Opp SB average are all under 0.5, indicating a low frequency of stolen bases. Furthermore, his L5 home SB average against the Cubs is zero, suggesting he struggles to steal bases against this particular team when playing at home. Additionally, his overall current hit streak is only 2, which is significantly lower than his home current hit streak of 7. This implies that Turner's batting performance, and therefore his opportunities for stolen bases, may be declining. Finally, the average L5 home caught stealing (Cs) rate is 0.2, suggesting there is a risk Turner could be caught if he attempts to steal a base. Collectively, these stats make the Under 0.5 bet a good choice.
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The betting rationale for Pete Crow-Armstrong for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is based on his recent performance data. Over the last five games, Crow-Armstrong's average stolen bases, both overall and away, are only 0.2 per game. This indicates that he is not frequently stealing bases. Additionally, his average caught stealing (Cs) rate when playing away is 0.2, suggesting there's a risk he could be caught if he attempts to steal. His performance against the Phillies also supports the bet, with an average of 0.2 stolen bases in the last five games. His current hit streak, both overall and away, does not significantly influence his ability to steal bases. Thus, the statistics suggest that it is unlikely for Crow-Armstrong to steal a base in the upcoming game.
Trea Turner (PHI) Over 0.5 Hits (-263)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
Trea Turner's performance data supports the bet for over 0.5 hits. His average hit rate in the last five games, both overall and against the Cubs, is 1.2, which is significantly higher than the line of 0.5. Additionally, his batting average at home is even better at 1.6 hits. His plate appearance averages are consistent, at 4.6 overall and at home, and 4.4 against the Cubs, indicating he consistently has opportunities to hit. Even though his current hit streak is 0, his past performance indicates a strong likelihood of hitting in the upcoming game. Therefore, the data suggests a high probability of Turner achieving more than 0.5 hits in the game against the Cubs, making this a good bet.
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The Chicago Cubs are a compelling choice based on the statistics provided. Despite playing away, the Cubs have demonstrated superior offensive and defensive performances in their last 5 games. They have an average of 6.8 runs scored overall, which is higher than the Phillies' 5.6 runs. Defensively, the Cubs have been more effective, allowing only 4.8 runs overall and just 3.4 runs away, compared to the Phillies' 5.8 overall and 6.8 at home. Moreover, the Cubs' recent record against the Phillies is evenly matched at 2-3, which doesn't give the home team an overwhelming advantage. These statistics suggest that the Cubs have a good chance of outscoring the Phillies, making them a strong betting choice.
Philadelphia Phillies vs Chicago Cubs : Chicago Cubs Win (-109)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The Chicago Cubs are the preferred bet for the Moneyline market in their game against the Philadelphia Phillies. The Cubs have demonstrated stronger offensive and defensive performances in their last five games. They have averaged 6.8 runs scored overall and 5.6 runs scored away, compared to the Phillies' 5.6 overall and 6.6 at home. Defensively, the Cubs have been more effective, allowing an average of 4.8 runs overall and 3.4 runs away, which is significantly less than the Phillies' 5.8 overall and 6.8 at home. Even though the Phillies have a slightly better home record, the Cubs' superior run scoring and run prevention capabilities make them the more favorable bet.
Philadelphia Phillies vs Chicago Cubs : Chicago Cubs -1.5 (+152)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The bet on the Chicago Cubs with a -1.5 Run Line is a promising choice, primarily due to their superior offensive and defensive performance in recent games. The Cubs have a higher average of runs scored in their last five games, both overall (6.8) and away (5.6), compared to the Phillies' at home (6.6) and overall (5.6). Defensively, the Cubs have been tighter, allowing fewer runs overall (4.8) and on the road (3.4), compared to the Phillies' at home (6.8) and overall (5.8). While the Phillies have a slightly better recent record at home (3-2) versus the Cubs' away record, the Cubs' superior offensive and defensive statistics suggest they are more likely to cover the -1.5 Run Line.
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