Philadelphia Phillies vs Chicago Cubs : Chicago Cubs +1.5 (-200)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The Chicago Cubs have been showing stronger performance in their recent games, making them a solid bet for this match. In their last five games, the Cubs have averaged 6.8 runs scored overall and 5.6 runs scored when playing away. This compares favorably to the Phillies' average of 5.6 runs scored overall and 6.6 runs at home. Furthermore, the Cubs have a stronger defensive record, allowing an average of 4.8 runs overall and just 3.4 runs when playing away. In contrast, the Phillies have allowed an average of 5.8 runs overall and a higher 6.8 runs at home. Given these statistics, the Cubs have a better offensive and defensive record, which increases their likelihood of covering the 1.5 run line.

Trea Turner (PHI) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-556)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The rationale for betting on Trea Turner for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is primarily based on his recent performance data. Turner's last five games show an average of 0.4 stolen bases overall and at home, suggesting that he is not consistently stealing bases. Furthermore, when facing the Cubs specifically, his stolen base average drops to 0.2. Even when considering his current hit streaks, Turner's overall and home hit streaks are 2 and 7 respectively, which do not directly translate to stolen bases. The absence of caught stealing (Cs) instances does not significantly bolster the case for a higher stolen base count, as Turner's base stealing attempts have been relatively low. These statistics collectively indicate a lower likelihood of Turner stealing a base in the upcoming game against the Cubs.

Zack Wheeler (PHI) Over 0.5 Walks Allowed (-588)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Zack Wheeler for Over 0.5 in the Pitcher Walks Allowed market is a solid choice based on his recent performance data. Over his last five games, Wheeler has averaged 1.2 walks overall, and 1 walk at home. This trend suggests that it is likely he will allow at least one walk in the upcoming game. Additionally, when facing the Cubs in the past, Wheeler has also averaged 1 walk. Furthermore, his innings pitched (IP) averages are consistently over 6, both overall and at home, which provides ample opportunity for at least one walk to occur. Despite his current hit streak being zero, his home hit streak is at 5, indicating strong performance at home. These statistics collectively imply a high probability of Wheeler allowing over 0.5 walks in his next game against the Cubs.

Zack Wheeler (PHI) Over 4.5 Strikeouts (-588)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Zack Wheeler has been consistently performing well, especially at home. His last five overall average strikeouts (SO) stand at 8.2, exceeding the bet line of 4.5. On his home turf, his last five games have an even higher average of 9 SO. His innings pitched (IP) at home also average at 7, which is higher than the overall average, giving him more opportunities for strikeouts. Despite a slightly lower average of 6 SO against the Cubs, it still surpasses the bet line. Moreover, his current hit streak overall is at 1, indicating a positive trend. Although his home hit streak is at 0, his strong performance averages at home suggest a high likelihood of him achieving over 4.5 strikeouts in the upcoming game. Therefore, based on Wheeler's consistent performance and strong home record, betting over 4.5 on Pitcher Strikeouts is a data-driven choice.

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