Cal Quantrill (MIA) Over 2.5 Hits Allowed (-1429)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Cal Quantrill's recent performance indicates that the bet on him allowing over 2.5 hits is a good choice. In his last five games, Quantrill has averaged 6.8 hits allowed overall and 5 hits allowed when playing away. Even more telling, his average hits allowed against the Phillies is also at 5. His innings pitched (IP) averages are lower, with 4 overall and slightly higher at 4.3 and 4.6 when away and against the Phillies respectively. This suggests Quantrill tends to allow more than one hit per inning. Furthermore, his current hit streaks stand at 8 overall and 3 away. All these statistics imply a high likelihood of Quantrill allowing more than 2.5 hits in the upcoming game against the Phillies, making the Over bet a statistically sound choice.

Aaron Nola (PHI) Over 2.5 Hits Allowed (-1667)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Aaron Nola's performance data indicates a strong likelihood of allowing more than 2.5 hits. His last five games show an average of 6.8 hits allowed overall and 6.6 hits when playing at home. Even when considering his performance against the opponent, the Atlanta Braves, his hit average remains high at 6.8. His innings pitched (IP) and outs averages also align with this trend, staying around the mid-five and mid-sixteen range, respectively. Furthermore, Nola is currently on a 25-game hit streak overall and an 18-game hit streak at home, which suggests a pattern of allowing hits. Therefore, betting over 2.5 on Nola's pitcher hits allowed is a statistically sound choice.

Bryson Stott (PHI) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-500)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Betting under 0.5 for Bryson Stott in the Batter Stolen Bases market is a sound choice, primarily due to his recent performance data. Stott's last five games show an average of 0.4 stolen bases overall and 0.6 at home, both below the line of 0.5. Furthermore, when facing the Atlanta Braves, his stolen base average dips even lower to 0.2. This indicates he is less likely to steal a base when playing against this specific team. Additionally, there have been no caught stealing (Cs) instances in his last five games, suggesting that he is not attempting many stolen bases. His current hit streaks, both overall and at home, do not significantly impact his stolen base performance. Therefore, all statistical indications lean towards Stott not stealing a base in the upcoming game.

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