Max Fried (NYY) Over 2.5 Strikeouts (-3333)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The bet on Max Fried for Over 2.5 in the Pitcher Strikeouts market is a strong choice given his consistent performance statistics. Fried has been averaging 6 strikeouts overall and 7 at home over the last 5 games, well above the line of 2.5. Furthermore, he has been even more effective against the Blue Jays, averaging 8 strikeouts. His innings pitched (IP) averages also support a high likelihood of achieving more than 2.5 strikeouts, with 6 innings pitched overall, 6.3 at home, and 7 against the Blue Jays. These numbers indicate that Fried usually stays in the game long enough to accumulate a significant number of strikeouts. Despite his current hit streak being at zero, his strong performance averages make this bet a solid choice.
New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays : Over 2.5 alternate_team_totals (-455)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The bet on 'New York Yankees Over 2.5' is a promising choice due to several compelling statistics. The Yankees have a strong recent history of scoring at home, with an average of 4 runs scored in their last 5 home games, comfortably above the 2.5 line. They also have a solid record against the Blue Jays, winning 3 of their last 5 encounters. Additionally, the Blue Jays have been giving up an average of 4.6 runs in their last 5 away games, further suggesting that the Yankees are likely to score more than 2.5 runs. Furthermore, the Yankees' batting average in their last 5 games, 7.8, indicates a potent offense. These consistent offensive performances, coupled with the Blue Jays' defensive struggles, make the 'Yankees Over 2.5' bet a statistically sound choice.
New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays : Under 12.5 Total Runs (-526)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The 'Under 12.5' bet is a strong choice given the recent performance data of both teams. The Yankees and Blue Jays have been scoring relatively low in their last five games, with average runs of 3.2 and 1.8 respectively. Additionally, the Yankees have a solid home record, allowing an average of only 2.6 runs. The Blue Jays' away performance also supports this bet, with an average of 2.8 runs scored and 4.6 runs allowed. Their batting averages are also low, with the Yankees hitting 7.8 and the Blue Jays 6. The low home run averages, 1.2 for the Yankees and 0.2 for the Blue Jays, further indicate a lower scoring game. The model prediction of 9.33 total runs is significantly below the line of 12.5, supporting the 'Under 12.5' bet.
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