Maikel Garcia (KCR) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-1000)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The under 0.5 bet on Maikel Garcia's stolen bases is a sound choice based on his recent performance data. Garcia's last five game averages reveal a low tendency for stolen bases, with an overall average of just 0.4 and a home game average of 0.2. When facing the Minnesota Twins, his stolen base average drops to zero. This suggests that Garcia's likelihood of stealing a base in the upcoming game is low. Additionally, Garcia's current hit streak is at zero, indicating he is not in a strong phase of offensive performance. His home hit streak is slightly better at two, but this still does not suggest a high probability of stealing bases. Therefore, the under 0.5 bet on Garcia's stolen bases is statistically justified.
Bobby Witt Jr. (KCR) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-714)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Bobby Witt Jr.'s recent performance statistics suggest the under 0.5 stolen bases bet is a good choice. His last five games' average stolen bases, both overall and at home, are 0.4, which is below the line of 0.5. Furthermore, his stolen base average specifically against the Minnesota Twins is even lower at 0.2, half the betting line. Additionally, his current hit streak is zero, indicating a recent struggle to get on base, which naturally reduces his stolen base opportunities. His home hit streak is slightly better at 2, but it's still not high enough to significantly increase his chances of stealing a base. These factors combined make it statistically less likely for Witt Jr. to steal more than 0.5 bases in the upcoming game.
Kansas City Royals vs Minnesota Twins : Over 1.5 alternate_team_totals (-588)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The Minnesota Twins have a strong chance of scoring more than 1.5 runs in the upcoming game against the Kansas City Royals. The Twins have been averaging 2.6 runs per game in their last 5 away games, which is higher than the betting line of 1.5. Moreover, the Royals have been allowing an average of 4.4 runs in their last 5 games overall and 2.4 runs in their last 5 home games. This suggests a potential weakness in the Royals' pitching that the Twins could exploit. Furthermore, the Royals' pitchers have been giving away an average of 3.6 bases on balls, providing additional scoring opportunities for the Twins. This statistical data, combined with the model prediction of 3.8 runs for the Twins, supports the bet on 'Minnesota Twins Over 1.5'.
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