Alec Bohm (PHI) Under 1.5 Hits (-222)

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Betting under 1.5 on Alec Bohm is a statistically sound choice considering his recent performance data. His average hits in the last five games overall is 1.4, which is already below the line. Moreover, his performance tends to drop when playing away, with an average of just 0.8 hits in the last five away games. His hit rate against the Marlins also supports this bet, averaging 1.2 hits per game. Bohm's current hit streak, both overall and away, is zero, indicating a recent slump in his batting performance. Furthermore, his plate appearances (PA) average is lower when playing away (3.6) compared to overall (4.4), suggesting fewer opportunities to hit. This combination of lower hit averages and fewer plate appearances makes the under 1.5 bet a solid choice.

Trea Turner (PHI) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-312)

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Betting on Trea Turner for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is a sound choice when considering his recent performance data. Over the last five games, Turner's overall stolen base average is 0.4, which is already below the line of 0.5. This trend is even more pronounced in away games, where his stolen base average drops to zero. Additionally, Turner's recent history against the Miami Marlins shows an average of 0.4 stolen bases, further reinforcing the likelihood of an under outcome. His current hit streaks, both overall and away, do not suggest a sudden increase in stolen bases. Therefore, based on Turner's recent performance, the under bet is statistically justified.

Xavier Edwards (MIA) Over 0.5 Hits (-263)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Xavier Edwards is a strong choice for an Over 0.5 bet in the Batter Hits Alternate market, especially given his recent performance. His overall average hits in the last five games (0.6) already surpasses the line of 0.5. This average increases to 0.8 when playing against the Phillies, showing he performs well against this specific opposition. Furthermore, his home hits average is an impressive 1.4, indicating that he tends to perform better when playing at home. These statistics suggest a high likelihood of Edwards achieving at least one hit in the upcoming game. Although his current home hit streak is zero, his overall hit streak stands at one, indicating he's in form. Therefore, betting on Edwards to have over 0.5 hits is a statistically sound choice.

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