Marseille vs Nantes: Nantes +5.5 Goal Handicap (-5000)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The bet on Nantes 5.5 for the Handicap (Alternate) market is driven by the team's recent performance data. Nantes has a higher average score (1.2) over the last five games compared to Marseille's (0.8). This indicates a more potent attack. Moreover, Nantes' expected goals (xG) average (1.5) surpasses that of Marseille (1.22), suggesting they create better scoring opportunities. While Marseille has a strong home record, their performance against Nantes is less impressive with only one win in their last five encounters. Nantes' overall performance on the road also supports this bet, with an average score of 1.2, matching their overall average. Despite conceding more goals away, their xG of 1.26 indicates they still create good chances. Hence, the bet on Nantes 5.5 is a statistically sound choice.
Marseille vs Nantes: Nantes Moneyline (+950)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The bet on Nantes is a viable choice based on the statistical analysis of both teams. Despite Marseille's superior historical record against Nantes, their recent form has been less impressive. In the last five games, Marseille has won only once, reflecting a potential decline in performance. Furthermore, their average score over the last five games is 0.8, lower than Nantes' 1.2. This suggests that Nantes has been more successful in converting their chances into goals recently. Additionally, Marseille's average opponent score is higher than Nantes', indicating a weaker defense. Nantes also has a higher expected goals (xG) average, which predicts their potential to score based on the quality of their chances. These factors combined suggest that Nantes has a competitive edge over Marseille in the upcoming match.
Marseille vs Nantes: Nantes Moneyline (+950)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The bet on Nantes is driven by Marseille's recent poor form and Nantes' consistent scoring. Despite Marseille's strong home record, their recent performances have been shaky with only one win in the last five matches. They've averaged a low 0.8 goals per game, while conceding an average of 2 goals. On the other hand, Nantes has maintained a steady scoring rate of 1.2 goals per game, both overall and away. While their away record isn't impressive, their consistent scoring coupled with Marseille's recent defensive weaknesses tilt the odds in their favor. Furthermore, Marseille's expected goals (xG) at home is significantly lower than Nantes' away xG, indicating Nantes' higher goal-scoring potential. Therefore, despite historical records favoring Marseille, current performance trends suggest Nantes as the likely winner.
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