Marseille vs Nantes: Nantes +5.5 Goal Handicap (-5000)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The bet on 'Nantes 5.5' in the Handicap (Alternate) market is a sound choice considering the recent performance data of both teams. Marseille, despite having a strong home record against Nantes, has been underperforming recently, with a poor overall record of 1 win, 0 draws, and 4 losses in their last 5 games. Their average score in these games is only 0.8, while their opponents average 2. On the other hand, Nantes has been performing better with 2 wins in their last 5 games and an average score of 1.2. Furthermore, Nantes' expected goals (xG) is higher than Marseille's, indicating a higher chance of scoring. This data suggests that Nantes is likely to not only cover the 5.5 handicap but also potentially secure a win against Marseille.
Marseille vs Nantes: Nantes Moneyline (+1000)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The bet on Nantes is based on the recent performance trends of both teams. Marseille's overall record in their last five games is poor (1-0-4), and the team's average score is low at 0.8. In contrast, Nantes' performance has been more balanced with a 2-0-3 record and a higher average score of 1.2. Additionally, Marseille's average conceded goals stand at 2, indicating a weaker defense compared to Nantes' 1.4. While Marseille has a stronger record against Nantes historically, current form is often a more reliable predictor of match outcome. Nantes' superior recent scoring ability and stronger defense, combined with Marseille's poor form, make a bet on Nantes a statistically sound choice.
Marseille vs Nantes: Nantes Moneyline (+1000)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The bet on Nantes is driven by the recent performance data of both teams. Despite Marseille's strong record against Nantes, their recent form is concerning with only one win in their last five games and an average of 2 goals conceded per game. Their expected goals (xG) also suggest they are underperforming offensively. On the other hand, Nantes' form is slightly better with two wins in their last five games. They also have a higher team score and xG than Marseille, indicating a stronger offensive performance. Additionally, Nantes' average opponent xG is lower than Marseille's, suggesting they are more defensively sound. Therefore, while it may seem counterintuitive given the historical head-to-head record, the bet on Nantes is backed by their superior recent performance data.
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