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Los Angeles Clippers vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction & Picks : Winning Game Angles
Unlock potential winning bets for Los Angeles Clippers playing Minnesota Timberwolves. Includes analysis on key players like Bennedict Mathurin. Analysis includes NBA predictions, NBA game picks, betting preview, Los Angeles Clippers vs Minnesota Timberwolves stats and odds.
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As we look ahead to the Clippers-Timberwolves matchup, targeting the under on Bennedict Mathurin's assists feels like a wise move. In his last five games, he's averaged just 1.2 assists, and notably, he hasn't surpassed the 2.5 mark with any consistency. Against Minnesota, his average sits around 1.6, which is telling given their strong defense against assists at home, allowing only 2 per game to opposing players. Consider the broader context, too: Mathurin's recent performance is impressive, with a staggering 19 out of his last 20 games hitting the under on this line. His last 11 home games show a similar pattern, where he's only exceeded this number once. With an implied probability of 65.8% backing this bet, it seems the smart money is on Mathurin staying under 2.5 assists once again.
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
In Thursday night's clash between the Clippers and Timberwolves, Donte DiVincenzo presents a strong case for the under on his combined rebounds and assists at 10.5. While he's a versatile player, recent trends suggest he might struggle to reach those numbers. Over his last five games, he's averaging just 2.8 rebounds and 3 assists, far from the lofty total we're concerned about. When away, his numbers dip slightly, posting an average of 3 rebounds and 2 assists, which still keeps him comfortably beneath our target. Historically, he's faced the Timberwolves with a modest average of 2.8 rebounds and 2.5 assists. With a perfect away hit rate of 9 for 9 in his last games, it's hard to see him breaking this trend against a robust Minnesota defense. So, taking the under here feels like a smart move as DiVincenzo looks to have a quieter night on the stat sheet.
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
As the Clippers gear up to face the Timberwolves, all eyes will be on Darius Garland's assist numbers, but betting the under on 9.5 makes a lot of sense. Although Garland has historically averaged a respectable 9.5 assists against Minnesota, recent trends tell a different story. Over his last five games, he's managed just 5.2 assists overall, with a slight uptick to 7.2 in away games. This dip in production is particularly telling, especially when you consider that he's gone under this line in 19 of his last 20 away contests. The Timberwolves' defense has also been stingy, allowing only 9.3 assists to visiting point guards. Given Garland's current form and the matchup, it's tough to envision him hitting the double-digit mark here. This makes the under not just a guess, but a well-informed play that aligns with the data.
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