Luis Severino (ATH) Over 2.5 Strikeouts (-385)

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The bet on Luis Severino for Over 2.5 in the Pitcher Strikeouts (Alternate) market is a promising choice due to his consistent performance data. His last five overall strikeouts average (4.4) and his last five away strikeouts average (5.2) both significantly exceed the line of 2.5. Moreover, his innings pitched averages both overall (6.4) and away (5.6) indicate he usually stays on the mound long enough to achieve more than 2.5 strikeouts. Even when considering his performance specifically against the Royals, his strikeouts average remains above the line at 4.3. Despite current hit streaks being zero, his consistent past performance suggests a high likelihood of achieving over 2.5 strikeouts.

Michael Wacha (KCR) Over 2.5 Strikeouts (-1000)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Michael Wacha's recent performance indicates a strong likelihood of achieving over 2.5 strikeouts in the upcoming game. Over his last five games, Wacha's overall average of strikeouts is 4, which is significantly higher than the line of 2.5. This trend is even more pronounced in home games, where his average increases to 4.6 strikeouts. Furthermore, his innings pitched and outs averages, both overall and at home, suggest he's on the mound long enough to achieve the necessary strikeouts. His overall and home hit streaks of 4 and 2 respectively, affirm his consistent performance. Therefore, based on Wacha's recent performance data, betting on him to achieve over 2.5 strikeouts is statistically justified.

Drew Waters (KCR) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-1250)

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The under 0.5 stolen bases bet for Drew Waters is a strong choice, based on his recent performance data. Waters' average stolen base rate in the last five games, overall and at home, is 0.2 and 0 respectively. This indicates a low frequency of stolen bases, making it statistically unlikely for him to steal a base in this game. Furthermore, he has not been caught stealing in any of his last five games, suggesting that he is not taking risks on the bases. His current hit streak, both overall and at home, is also relatively low, indicating a reduced chance of him getting on base to even attempt a steal. While he has a slightly higher stolen base average against this opponent (0.7), it's still less than one per game. All these factors point towards a probable outcome of under 0.5 stolen bases for Waters in this game.

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