Maikel Garcia (KCR) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-417)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The under 0.5 bet on Maikel Garcia for Batter Stolen Bases is a strong choice, backed by his recent performance data. Garcia's last five games show an average of 0.4 stolen bases overall and 0.2 at home, both under the line of 0.5. His performance against the Angels specifically also supports this bet, with an average of 0.2 stolen bases in their recent matchups. Furthermore, Garcia's current hit streak is zero, suggesting he may struggle to get on base, which is a prerequisite for stealing bases. While his home hit streak is slightly better at two, it's still relatively low. This, combined with his lower stolen base averages, makes the under 0.5 bet a statistically sound choice.
Bobby Witt Jr. (KCR) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-323)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The under 0.5 bet for Bobby Witt Jr. in the Batter Stolen Bases market is a good choice considering his recent performance and the relevant statistics. Witt Jr.'s last five games' overall stolen base average is 0.4, which is less than the line of 0.5. This trend is consistent even in home games, where his stolen base average is also 0.4. Furthermore, Witt Jr. is currently not on a hit streak, which suggests a lower likelihood of him getting on base and having an opportunity to steal. Additionally, the opposing team has an average of 0.2 caught stealing incidents over the last five games, implying they have a decent record of preventing stolen bases. Therefore, the statistical data indicates that it's less likely for Witt Jr. to steal a base in the upcoming game, making the under 0.5 bet a solid choice.
Kyle Hendricks (LAA) Over 0.5 Walks Allowed (-333)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Kyle Hendricks for Over 0.5 in Pitcher Walks Allowed is statistically sound. Over his last five games, Hendricks has averaged 1.8 walks overall and 2.4 walks when playing away. This is significantly higher than the line of 0.5, indicating a strong likelihood he will exceed this threshold. His innings pitched (IP) and outs averages also support this, as they show he typically stays in the game long enough to potentially give up a walk. Although he has averaged 0.5 walks against the Royals in the past, his current form, particularly in away games, suggests this may increase. His ongoing hit streaks further underline his vulnerability to allowing hits, which often come with walks. Therefore, based on his recent performance and current form, betting on Hendricks to allow over 0.5 walks is a solid choice.
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