Juventus vs Cagliari: Draw Moneyline (+425)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on a 'Draw' result in the Juventus vs Cagliari game is driven by a combination of factors. Juventus, despite their stronger home record, has been underperforming in terms of scoring, with an average of only 0.8 goals in the last 5 games overall. Cagliari, on the other hand, has a weaker away record but matches Juventus's scoring average. The Expected Goals (xG) averages also suggest a close match, with Juventus at 1.34 and Cagliari at 0.8. Furthermore, both teams have similar averages in terms of shots on target (SOT), indicating that both teams have similar opportunities to score. Lastly, Cagliari's recent history against Juventus shows a tendency towards draws. These factors, taken together, suggest a high likelihood of a draw outcome.
Juventus vs Cagliari: Draw Moneyline (+425)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The draw outcome is a compelling option in the Juventus vs Cagliari match because of the recent performance of both teams. Juventus, while strong at home (4-0-1), has shown a lower scoring average (0.8) compared to their conceded goals (1.4). Cagliari, despite a poor away record (0-2-3), has managed to keep their overall score level with their opponents (1-1). Considering the expected goals (xG) data, Juventus' xG at home (1.38) is close to Cagliari's overall opponent xG (1.38), indicating a potential equilibrium in scoring opportunities. Furthermore, Cagliari's low scoring average on away games (0.4) and Juventus' lower home scoring average (1.6) compared to the league's average, suggest a low-scoring match, increasing the chances of a draw. These factors combined suggest a reasonable probability of a draw outcome.
Juventus vs Cagliari: Cagliari Draw No Bet (+700)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Cagliari in the Draw No Bet market is driven by Juventus' recent lackluster performance at home. Despite having a stronger home record, Juventus' average score in the last five games is 0.8, compared to Cagliari's 1, indicating a potential for an upset. Furthermore, Juventus' expected goals (xG) average is lower than the goals they concede on average, suggesting defensive vulnerabilities that Cagliari could exploit. Cagliari's away record is not impressive, but their performance against Juventus specifically shows they can hold their own, with two draws in the last five encounters. Given these factors, there's a statistically justifiable chance that Cagliari could either draw or win, making the Draw No Bet on Cagliari a reasonable choice.
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