Fremantle Dockers vs Gold Coast Suns Prediction & Picks : Odds Analysis & Top Props

Murphy Reid has been consistent with 0.8 goals per game over his last five home matches, showing a solid goal-scoring trend. With an above-average goal accuracy of 46.7% and an average of 1.6 shots at goal, he's actively involved in creating scoring opportunities. Reid's recent performance of 6.4 score involvements per game indicates his impact on the team's attacking plays. Facing Gold Coast Suns, against whom he has averaged 0 goals in the last five encounters, Reid is due for a breakthrough. The model predicting him to score 1 goal, with a 9.2% edge, supports his scoring potential. Betting on Reid to score anytime at home seems like a promising wager based on his recent form and involvement in Fremantle's attacking setups.

Michael Frederick (Fremantle) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-233)

Michael Frederick is a solid bet to snag a goal in the Fremantle Dockers vs. Gold Coast Suns matchup. With a model predicting him to score 1.1 goals and an implied probability of 69.9%, Frederick's recent form supports this. Averaging 1.2 goals in his last 5 home games, along with a 36.0% goal accuracy and 2.4 shots at goal per game, he has been consistently involved in scoring opportunities. Facing Gold Coast Suns, against whom he averages 0.5 goals in his last 5 matchups, Frederick's goal-scoring potential is further highlighted. With his recent goal-scoring streak and strong statistical indicators, backing Frederick to score anytime seems like a smart wager.

Shai Bolton (Fremantle) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-323)

Shai Bolton's recent form, averaging 1 goal in his last 5 games, coupled with facing a Gold Coast Suns team where he averages 1 goal in his last 5 matchups, makes him a strong candidate to snag a goal in the upcoming game at Optus Stadium. With an average of 3 shots at goal and 7.4 score involvements in his recent home games, Bolton's involvement in Fremantle's forward line enhances his goal-scoring potential. Despite a slightly lower goal accuracy at 22.3%, the data suggests Bolton's consistent attacking contributions position him well to surpass the 0.5 goal line. The model's solid prediction of 1.2 goals further supports the likelihood of Bolton hitting the back of the net in this AFL fixture.

Wil Powell (Gold Coast SUNS) Over 14.5 Disposals (-333)

Wil Powell is poised to surpass 14.5 disposals against Fremantle based on his recent form. With a robust L5 average of 17 disposals, including 9.2 kicks and 7.8 handballs per away game, Powell consistently contributes to Gold Coast's midfield. His 80.7% disposal efficiency and ability to gain 342 meters on average showcase his impact. Notably, he has hit a streak with 5 out of 6 away games meeting or exceeding this line, and a perfect 3 for 3 overall recently. Facing a favorable matchup where he historically averages 17.5 disposals against Fremantle, Powell's form and trends indicate a strong likelihood of him reaching or surpassing his disposal line.

Jaeger O'Meara (Fremantle) Over 14.5 Disposals (-233)

Jaeger O'Meara is poised to shine with his L5 average of 13.4 disposals at home, coupled with his strong historical performance against Gold Coast (18.7 disposals L5). His consistent form, averaging 16 disposals overall, signals reliability. Although his disposals might fluctuate, his recent 9/11 home hit rate and 15/20 overall hit rate ensure a high probability of surpassing the 14.5 line. With a model prediction of 17.3, only 5 above his average, the 1.5% edge indicates a lucrative opportunity. O'Meara's proficiency in contested possessions (6.6) and disposal efficiency (63.9%) further support his potential to exceed expectations, making the Over 14.5 disposals bet on Jaeger O'Meara a strong choice for this AFL matchup.