Deep dive into Florida Panthers vs Edmonton Oilers hockey action. Find value betting opportunities. Includes analysis on key players like Brad Marchand. Check out NHL predictions, NHL game picks, hockey betting preview, Florida Panthers vs Edmonton Oilers stats and odds.
Florida Panthers vs Edmonton Oilers : Edmonton Oilers +1.5 (-208)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The wager on Edmonton Oilers +1.5 in the Puck Line market is primarily driven by their recent defensive performance. Despite their overall losing record, the Oilers have demonstrated a capacity to keep games close, with a respectable average of 3.6 goals against in their last five away games. This compares favorably to the Panthers' average of 2.2 goals scored in their last five home games. Additionally, Edmonton's penalty minutes average is higher, suggesting they've been able to disrupt their opponents' rhythm effectively. The model prediction of 0.18, albeit not overwhelmingly in favor of the Oilers, also indicates a competitive game. Therefore, while the Panthers may still win, the Oilers are statistically likely to keep the goal difference within 1.5, validating the bet selection.
Brad Marchand (Boston Bruins) Over 1.5 Shots On Goal (-208)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The bet on Brad Marchand for Over 1.5 in the 'Player Shots On Goal' market is a statistically sound choice, given his recent performance. Marchand's model prediction is 2.73, comfortably over the 1.5 line, suggesting a strong likelihood of him exceeding that figure. This is underpinned by his L5 overall shots average, which sits at 2.8, again surpassing the proposed line. His consistency is also noteworthy, with an overall hit rate in the last seven games of 6/7, indicating a robust and sustained performance. Even though his L5 home games shots average is slightly lower at 1.2, the current hit streak at home is 1, and the hit rate for the last four home games is 3/4, indicating he performs well in home conditions. Based on these statistics, Marchand is likely to exceed 1.5 shots on goal in the upcoming game.
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