Brad Marchand (Boston Bruins) Over 1.5 Shots On Goal (-227)
Odds available at betrivers at time of publishing
The bet on Brad Marchand for Over 1.5 in the 'Player Shots On Goal' market is based on a combination of his recent performance and statistical model predictions. Marchand's average shots on goal in his last five away games is 3.2, significantly above the bet line of 1.5. Even when considering his overall average shots of 2.2, he still exceeds the bet line. Additionally, Marchand's hit rate in the last 5 away games is 4/5 and 5/6 in the last 6 overall games, showing a consistent pattern of surpassing the bet line. The model prediction, forecasting 3.11 shots on goal, aligns with these statistics and supports the bet. Although his current hit streak is at 0, his past performance and the model prediction provide a strong rationale for this bet.
Calvin Pickard (Edmonton Oilers) Under 25.5 Saves (-120)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The betting rationale for Calvin Pickard to achieve under 25.5 saves in the 'Player Total Saves' market is supported by several statistical factors. Firstly, the model prediction of 23.73 saves is below the line of 25.5. Moreover, Pickard's average saves in the last 5 overall games is only 19, significantly lower than the bet line. Although his last 5 home games record a higher average of 27.6 saves, it's important to consider the current home games hit streak, which stands at 1, suggesting a temporary deviation from the norm. Furthermore, his overall current hit streak is 2, suggesting a trend towards fewer saves. Lastly, considering his last 20 home games, Pickard's hit rate stands at 16/20, indicating a considerable likelihood of underperformance relative to the bet line. Therefore, the bet is chosen based on Pickard's recent performance data and model insights.
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