Stuart Skinner (Edmonton Oilers) Over 21.5 Saves (-130)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The rationale for betting over 21.5 on Stuart Skinner in the 'Player Total Saves' market is driven by his strong recent performance at home. Skinner's average saves in the last five home games is 29.2, significantly higher than the betting line of 21.5. This indicates a good probability that he will exceed the proposed line, considering his home game performance. Additionally, when looking at the overall average number of shots against him in the last five games, it's 31.8, a number that further supports the potential for a high number of saves. While his current home games hit streak is 0, his hit rate in the last six home games is 5/6, suggesting a consistent performance. The model prediction of 24.49 also supports this bet, as it's higher than the betting line. Therefore, based on these statistics, the over bet on Stuart Skinner seems justified.
Edmonton Oilers vs New York Rangers : New York Rangers +1.5 (-192)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on New York Rangers +1.5 is driven by their recent performance and comparative stats against the Edmonton Oilers. The Rangers have demonstrated a strong defensive play in their last five away games, allowing an average of 2.2 goals against compared to the Oilers' 3.6 at home. This defensive strength increases the likelihood of the Rangers not losing by more than 1.5 goals. Although the Rangers' overall record is 2-3, they've performed better on the road with a 3-2 record. The Oilers, on the other hand, have a 2-3 record at home. Furthermore, the model's prediction of -0.08 indicates a close game, implying the Rangers should be able to cover the 1.5 puck line. The Rangers' resilient away performance and the Oilers' inconsistent home record support the bet on New York Rangers +1.5.
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