Amen Thompson (Houston Rockets) Under 12.5 Rebounds + Assists (-137)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Rockets gear up to face the Nuggets, all eyes will be on Amen Thompson, but betting the under on his combined rebounds and assists at 12.5 feels like a savvy move. Over his last five games, Thompson has averaged 7.6 rebounds and 2.8 assists-well below our target. Even more telling, when he hits the road, those numbers dip slightly, with his away averages sitting at 7.8 rebounds and just 3.8 assists.Against Denver specifically, Thompson has struggled; his last five outings against them show an average of zero assists and nine rebounds. That pattern suggests he'll likely find it tough to surpass that 12.5 mark. With a hit rate of 6-for-6 in his last six games, it's clear he's been efficient, but facing a strong Denver squad at altitude could stifle his production. At this price, taking the under seems like a smart bet.

Nikola Jokic (Denver Nuggets) Over 27.5 Points (-128)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

When the Denver Nuggets face off against the Houston Rockets, all eyes should be on Nikola Jokic to surpass the 27.5 points mark. Playing at home, Jokic has been a scoring machine; he's averaging 28 points in his last five games and has an impressive home hit rate of 57% over his last 14 games. What's fascinating is his performance against the Rockets specifically-he's been lighting them up for an average of 28.6 points in recent encounters, which suggests he thrives against their defense. The Nuggets' star is not just a scorer; his ability to read the floor means he often finds himself in prime scoring positions. At this moment, his expected stat value hovers around 30 points, indicating that we might just see him notch another high-scoring affair. With the home crowd behind him and a favorable matchup, backing Jokic to go Over 27.5 feels like a smart play.

Jamal Murray (Denver Nuggets) Over 3.5 Rebounds (-159)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

When the Denver Nuggets host the Houston Rockets, all eyes should be on Jamal Murray and his rebounding prowess. At home, he's been a force, averaging 5.2 boards over his last five games, and he's even better against the Rockets, pulling down 4.2 rebounds in their last matchup at the Mile High City. What's particularly compelling is his recent form-Murray has hit over 3.5 rebounds in 10 of his last 11 games, showcasing a consistency that's hard to overlook. His ability to contribute on the glass, especially in front of a home crowd where he thrives, makes this prop bet very enticing. With an expected stat value of nearly 5 rebounds and a perfect home hit rate in his last five contests, it's clear that the over on Murray's rebound total is a solid play. As the Nuggets look to assert their dominance, expect Murray to elevate his game once again.

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