Dak Prescott (DAL) Over 14.5 Player rush yds alternate (+355)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Betting on Dak Prescott to rush for over 14.5 yards against the New York Giants is a risk considering his recent performance and trends. Prescott's overall hit rate for the last 5, 10, and 20 games is poor – hitting over 14.5 yards only once in the last 5 games (20% hit rate), 1 time in the last 10 games (10% hit rate), and 5 times in the last 20 games (25% hit rate). His home hit rate is equally unimpressive. He's not hit the target in the last 5 home games and only three times in the last 10. However, when playing against the Giants, especially at home, Prescott has a perfect hit rate, which suggests a matchup-specific advantage. Despite this, his overall and current hit streaks are at zero, indicating a lack of consistency. Given these statistics, betting on Prescott to rush over 14.5 yards is a high-risk

Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants : Under 44.5 Total Points (-110)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Statistical trends and recent performance data indicate the under 44.5 in the 'totals' market is a compelling bet. Both teams have been struggling offensively in the last five games, with the home team averaging 20.4 points and the away team only managing 17 points. This combined average of 37.4 is significantly below the 44.5 total. Furthermore, both teams' expected points added (EPA) for metrics are negative. The home team's overall EPA for is at 3.01, but their EPA against is higher at 6.83, resulting in a negative EPA difference. The away team's overall EPA for is a dismal -5.05, and their EPA against is an enormous 8.06, showing they are losing more points on defense than they are gaining on offense. Moreover, the away team's poor record in the last five games (1-4 overall, 0-5 away) and their 0-

Jalen Tolbert (DAL) Under 1.5 Receptions (-130)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The statistical data provided for Jalen Tolbert suggests a strong rationale for a bet on Under 1.5 in the 'player receptions' market for the Cowboys vs Giants game. Tolbert's overall hit rate over his last 32 games is just 31.25%, and this drops to 27.78% in home games. This trend continues when he plays against the Giants, with a hit rate of only 25% overall and no successful hits at home in the last two games. His recent performance also supports this, as he has hit this mark in only 20% of the last five home games and 40% of the last five games overall. His current hit streak is also low, with no hits in his last home game or against the Giants. With a model edge of 0.1567, there's a strong indication that betting Under 1.5 on Jalen Tolbert's player receptions is a statistically sound decision.

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