Bobby Witt Jr. (KCR) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-526)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The Under 0.5 bet for Bobby Witt Jr.'s stolen bases is a solid choice based on his recent performance data. His average stolen bases in the last five games overall is 0.4, which is already below the line. This figure drops even further when looking at his away games, where his average is only 0.2. Additionally, his average caught stealing rate is 0.2, indicating a high risk when attempting to steal bases. Furthermore, his performance against the Cleveland Guardians shows an average of only 0.2 stolen bases, reinforcing the likelihood of him staying under 0.5. Lastly, Witt Jr.'s current hit streak is zero, suggesting a potential struggle in getting on base. All these statistics point towards a lower probability of Witt Jr. stealing a base in this game.

Steven Kwan (CLE) Over 0.5 Hits (-263)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Steven Kwan has been performing exceptionally well recently, both overall and at home. His overall average hits in the last five games stand at 1.8, and at home, it's 1.4. This suggests that he consistently gets at least one hit per game, making the over 0.5 bet a good choice. Furthermore, his performance against the Kansas City Royals is impressive, averaging 1.4 hits in the last five games. His current hit streak is also noteworthy, with six hits overall and four at home, indicating a consistent performance. His plate appearance average is consistently high at 4.6, both overall and at home, which provides him ample opportunities to score hits. These statistics strongly suggest that Kwan is likely to score over 0.5 hits in the upcoming game.

Jose Ramirez (CLE) Over 0.5 Hits (-233)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Betting on Jose Ramirez for Over 0.5 in the Batter Hits market is a good choice mainly due to his consistent performance at home. His last five home games show an average of 0.8 hits per game, indicating a strong likelihood of him scoring at least one hit in this game. Additionally, Ramirez's overall plate appearance average is 4.6, which means he has multiple opportunities to score a hit. Despite his current overall hit streak being at zero, his home hit streak is at three games, suggesting he performs better at home. Although his average against the Royals is lower, his strong home performance and high plate appearance average make this a promising bet.

Cleveland Guardians vs Kansas City Royals : Over 7.5 Total Runs (-139)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The 'Over 7.5' bet is a good choice for the Cleveland Guardians vs Kansas City Royals game based on several key statistics. The model prediction of 8.84 runs indicates a likely higher scoring game. The Guardians have an average of 3.8 runs scored in their last 5 games and the Royals have an average of 2.6, totaling 6.4 runs. The Royals have been allowing an average of 4.6 runs in their away games, which could boost the Guardians' scoring. Additionally, the Guardians' average pitcher strikeouts are higher (9.8) than the Royals' (7), suggesting they may limit the Royals' scoring less than the Royals limit theirs. Also, considering the Guardians' recent record against the Royals (3-2), they have shown capability to score against this team. These factors combined suggest a higher likelihood for a total of over 7.5 runs.

Cleveland Guardians vs Kansas City Royals : Over 5.5 Total Runs (-357)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The 'Over 5.5' bet on total runs in the Cleveland Guardians vs Kansas City Royals game is a promising choice due to several key statistics. Firstly, the model prediction of 8.84 runs significantly exceeds the line of 5.5, suggesting an over is likely. The Guardians' recent performance at home shows an average of 3 runs scored per game, while the Royals' away average is 2.4 runs. Combined, this already reaches 5.4 runs, close to the line. Additionally, the Royals' defense has been allowing an average of 4.6 runs in their last 5 away games, which could provide the Guardians more scoring opportunities. Moreover, the Guardians' batting has been solid, with an average of 6.6 hits in their last five games. These factors indicate a high likelihood of a combined score exceeding 5.5 runs.

Cleveland Guardians vs Kansas City Royals : Over 6.5 Total Runs (-238)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The 'Over 6.5' bet for the Cleveland Guardians vs Kansas City Royals game is a solid choice, primarily due to the combined average runs scored and allowed by both teams. The Guardians have an average of 3.8 runs scored and 3.4 runs allowed in their last 5 games, while the Royals have 2.6 runs scored and 4.4 runs allowed. This gives a combined average of 7.2 runs per game which is over the set line of 6.5. Furthermore, the Royals have a higher average of hits (8.2) than the Guardians (6.6), which could contribute to more runs. Both teams also have a similar average of home runs, which could potentially add to the total score. Lastly, the Royals have a higher average of walks allowed (3.6) which could give the Guardians more scoring opportunities.

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